Tommy Paul vs. Aleksandar Kovacevic prediction, odds, picks for 2026 Australian Open

Tommy Paul will square off with Aleksandar Kovacevic in the first round of the 2026 Australian Open on Sunday.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Tommy Paul as the most likely winner of the Paul vs. Kovacevic match.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Paul vs. Kovacevic prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Paul-Kovacevic men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Paul an 86% chance of defeating Kovacevic in the 2026 Australian Open.

Additionally, Paul has a 79% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Paul (-5.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 37.5 games has a 63% chance of hitting**, according to our model.

Tommy Paul vs. Aleksandar Kovacevic odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Paul vs. Kovacevic picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: