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The Masters Best Bets: Top Picks and Winner Predictions in 2024

The Masters Best Bets: Top Picks and Winner Predictions in 2024

It's that wonderful time of year when the Masters Tournament tees off at Augusta National (insert Jim Nantz "unlike any other" reference). 89 of the world's best golfers will compete for a piece of professional golf history, with both PGA TOUR and LIV golfers alike making up the field. 

There are plenty of storylines around this one - Rory McIlroy chasing that final major to round out his collection, last year's top 3 finishers all play with LIV and Scottie Scheffler receiving Tiger Woods levels of shortened odds to win, just to name a few.

Our predictive analytics model has run 1000s of simulations for the Masters Tournament, identifying value bets in the winner and placement markets. We're heading to famous Augusta National in Georgia with an $18 million purse, a green jacket and eternal glory up for grabs

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The Masters 2024 Golf Betting Preview

Our best bets are here to help with outright winner plays, as well as recommended Top-5, Top-10 and Top-20 picks.

Also, make sure you visit Dimers all golf season long, where we'll be feeding you our trusted PGA best bets on a weekly basis. These PGA predictions are sourced from our powerful predictive analytics model that pulled off some big wins in 2023 and has already returned an 80-1 winner with Wyndham Clark in 2024.

Betting on these tournaments is a great way to take advantage of weekly promotions from the sportsbooks, especially at Fanatics, where all users can get 10 profit boosts for The Masters. Claim this offer here or via the card below!

Who Will Win the 2024 Masters Tournament?

Here are the five most likely winners of this year's Masters Tournament, the result of simulating the tournament 10,000 times via our A.I. models: 

GOLFER
WIN
TOP 5
TOP 10
Scottie Scheffler
16.5%
44.3%
60.6%
Xander Schauffele
8.7%
28.3%
43.5%
Rory McIlroy
5.2%
20.9%
34.9%
Jon Rahm
4.0%
17.6%
30.5%
Wyndham Clark
3.9%
17.0%
30.5%

Augusta National, stretched to 7,545 yards for this event, boasts a Par-72 layout. Among its notable features are four Par-5s, the only holes where players typically score under par. Capitalizing on birdie opportunities on these holes often leads to success, particularly for those who can reach the greens in two shots.

Augusta's par-4s are notably lengthy compared to typical TOUR courses. Nine out of the ten par-4s measure over 440 yards, with three exceeding 490 yards in length, adding to its reputation as a formidable venue. 

One distinctive aspect of Augusta's layout is its generously wide fairways, though hitting them successfully remains crucial. Bentgrass greens will make for increased speed and putting precision will be as important as ever.

For access to every probabilities and projections beyond the Top 5 in each category, hit the Dimers Pro button below:


Dimers' Top-Ranked Golfers at the The Masters Tournament

GOLFER
Dimers Rank
OWGR
Scottie Scheffler
#1
#1
Xander Schauffele
#2
#5
Rory McIlroy
#3
#2
Cameron Smith
#4
#68
Jon Rahm
#5
#3

MORE: Dimers Pro's In-House Golf Rankings

2024 Masters Tournament Best Bets

Xander Schauffele to Win (+1400 on DraftKings)

A DimersBOT favorite this year, Xander Schauffele gets both the second-highest probability to win The Masters as well as an edge in his +1400 odds. He finished T3 when we predicted in to win The American Express and has settled within the top 10 six times this year, including a T5, T2 and T4 in his last four events.

Schauffele has played great at The Masters in his six appearances - he had a T50 in his first year and a Missed Cut in 2022, but has finished T17, T10 (last year), T2 and T3.

At 8.7% to win, we say he shouldn't be any longer than +1050, identifying a clear edge in his odds here.

Placement Value: At a 28.3% probability and +300 to finish Top 5, there's a slight value as he should be +250 according to our model.

 

Wyndham Clark to Win (+4500 on FanDuel)

Another DimersBOT darling, Wyndham Clark has one of our biggest wins ever at +8000 when he took home the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am earlier this year.

Clark is one of two golfers this year - elite or middling. He has win, a 2nd place and a T2 to go along with three finishes outside T30 and one missed cut. Now, he'll be making his first appearance at Augusta National.

He draws a 3.9% win probability, which while marginal, is a Top 5 chance to win per our model. It also means he should be no more than +2500, making a massive difference in his odds compared to ours.

Third overall in Stroked Gained, there's no reason Clark can't compete all the way through Day 4 and our model loves the value on him to do so.

Placement Value: In addition to his edge as a winner, there's value in his full placement market: Top 5 (17.0% at +750), Top 10 (30.5% at +330) and Top 20 (50.9% at +130).

 

Cameron Smith to Win (+5000 on FanDuel)

Forced to withdraw from last week's LIV event, Cameron Smith's primary concern is being fit enough to play in the Masters Tournament. If he's good to go, our model loves his value most of all.

Smith was looking like one of the best players on the PGA TOUR before shipping off to LIV in 2022. He had three wins, four Top 10s and four top 20s, including a T3 at the Masters. He has four T10 or better, including a T2, in his seven Masters appearances.

The 30-year old from Australia gets a 3.4% probability to win, sitting just outside our Top 5. But at his odds of +5500, the books says he's got just a 1.8% chance. Just how much is that 1.6% discrepancy worth? 

It's the difference in +5000 and +2850. Furthermore, he's +4500 on DraftKings and +4000 on BetMGM.

Placement Value: In addition to his edge as a winner, there's value in his full placement market: Top 5 (15.1% at +900), Top 10 (27.7% at +400) and Top 20 (47.3% at +165).

 

Eric Cole Top 20 (+450 on DraftKings)

We've got two standalone value plays in the Top 20 market. The first one is on newcomer to the Masters, Eric Cole. This year on TOUR, Cole has picked up four such finishes and landed on T21 twice. 

At a 23.5% probability, we say he shouldn't be any better than around +300, while he sits at +450.

 

J.T. Poston Top 20 (+450 on DraftKings)

The second Top 20 value play is on J.T. Poston who has been the definition of a volatile golfer this year. He's got finishes of T5, 6, T11, T10 and T20 to go along with three straight performances outside the Top 40.

He's got the same odds as Cole at nearly an identical probability. In two Masters appearances, he has a missed cut and T34 (last year).

 

These aren't the only value plays on the board, but our selected ones based on our model's recommendations. With Dimers Pro, you can check out our full predictions for the Masters Tournament to find your favorite plays, with plenty more edges to be found!

Build Round Robins, Top 20 parlays and get round-by-round updates each day with Dimers Pro.


Dimers' Expert Golf Picks and Predictions

As well as being your best source for PGA golf predictions, Dimers also has the latest golf news, golf predictions for every game, weekly golf rankings, and golf matchup H2H tool.

Can I bet on golf with Dimers?

No. There’s no golf bet slip on our site because we don’t take any golf bets ourselves. We’re the friend who gives you the best golf picks and predictions then tells you where and how to get the best golf sign up offers at the sportsbooks, so you can throw your golf bets down. That’s it!

When you click on one of our buttons or links in our golf content, you’re whisked away to DraftKings, BetMGM, FanDuel, or one of the many other sportsbooks we work with.

Once you get there, you can join up to score a welcome bonus (up to $200!), and then get those golf bets down for yourself, but you’re betting on the golf with them, not us. Since you are never betting anything directly with us, we don’t have access to your personal information or sensitive financial info like credit card numbers.

It also means that despite our best efforts to confirm that a sports betting site still has that awesome golf sign up offer available, the best ones often disappear just as quickly as they appeared. We always take these offers down once we know they’re no longer available. We take our responsibility to provide up to date golf information very seriously.

Finally, Responsible Gambling is extremely important to us, so please remember that golf betting should be seen as a form of entertainment - adding to your enjoyment while watching from the course of the couch - not a side hustle or second income stream.

If Dimers doesn't take golf bets, then how do you make money?

Whenever you join a sportsbook mentioned in our golf picks and predictions across the website, or use one of our promo codes, we get a small commission for referring you. Don’t worry, though, this doesn’t affect you in any way at all. That’s a fee the sportsbook pays us as a thank-you for sending another golf bettor their way.

We’re always happy to help our readers troubleshoot any problems. Start with our About Us or Contact Us and if that doesn’t work for you, then you can always send us an email at contact@dimers.com. We’ll do our best to help you figure it out.

Dimers and golf betting

  • Dimers, and online sports betting, are not scams – golf betting has been legal since May 2018.
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  • We’re always happy to help you troubleshoot any issues. Just ask!

Dimers and Responsible Gambling

Remember to please gamble responsibly. If you sense that you're taking your luck too far, know when to call it quits and don't be afraid to seek assistance. Keep in mind that gambling is all about having a fantastic experience! If you or someone you know is grappling with gambling issues, reach out to 1-800-GAMBLER for crisis counseling and support.

Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for MLB and NFL, uses his deep knowledge to craft game previews for the NBA, MLB, and NFL. He also brings his expertise to the golf world with tournament previews and parlays for the PGA TOUR and major golf tournaments. Additionally, Dave offers valuable props for NBA, MLB, NHL, and NCAAM basketball, along with best bets for MLB, NHL, and NCAAM. 

When not delving into the world of sports, Dave is an avid advocate for New Haven pizza, enjoys reading comic books, gardening, and spending time with his cats. His broad interests and detailed sports insights ensure that his contributions are both engaging and informative.

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