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The Best Player Props To Bet On Thursday November 3, 2022

We've dived deep into our predictive analytics model, otherwise known as DimersBOT, to identify the best odds and betting opportunities, plus the best player props for Thursday November 3, 2022. Using the world renowned Monte Carlo method, we have simulated every major pro and college sport over 10,000 times to produce NBA predictions, NFL predictions and NHL predictions that paint the clearest picture of what is likely to occur in any given game, and which players will contribute to those predictions either hitting or missing. We then use these suggested prop bets and match them against the sportsbooks' odds to identify where we have a betting edge, and where we believe the odds makers have got it wrong in their assessment of an NBA, NFL or NHL matchup.
The 10 Best Player Props Thursday
| PLAYER | BET | EDGE | ODDS |
| Phillip Dorsett | u23.5 Receiving Yards | 29.8% | -110 |
| Sebastian Aho | Anytime Goal | 29.6% | +1200 |
| Jalen Hurt | o41.5 Rushing Yards | 29.6% | -110 |
| Brevin Jordan | o15.5 Receiving Yards | 16.5% | -125 |
| Wendell Carter | o9.5 Total Rebounds | 15.8% | -102 |
| Davis Mills | u34.5 Passing Attempts | 15.2% | +100 |
| Brandin Cooks | u61.5 Receiving Yards | 14.8% | -115 |
| Jalen Hurts | o28.5 Passing Attempts | 13.9% | -108 |
| Nikola Jokic | o13.5 Total Rebounds | 15.7% | +102 |
| Stephen Curry | o4.5 3-Pointers Made | 12.3% | +126 |
The 10 Best Prop Bets Today
1. NFL: Eagles vs. Texans
BET: Phillip Dorsett Under 23.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
We predict there's an 82.2% chance that Dorsett doesn't get to the 23.5 receiving yards line set by Caesars Sportsbook. Given the -110 odds on offer, this represents an incredible edge of 29.8% against their odds. To maximize the value we're getting here we need to bet this with Caesars Sportsbook where new users get their first bet, up to $1250, on the house. If it loses, you get your stake back. You can get a piece of this here.
2. NHL: Hurricanes vs. Lightning
BET: Sebastian Aho To Score Anytime Goal (+1200)
After over 10,000 simulations of this game our predictive analytics model gives Aho a 37.3% chance of scoring against the Lightning tonight. With massive +1200 odds on offer, a bet on him finding the back of the net gives us an edge of 29.6% with BetMGM. Better yet, at BetMGM new users can place a $10 money line bet on any NHL game and they will score $200 in bonus bets the minute either team scores a goal in that game. You can claim this offer here.
3. NFL: Eagles vs. Texans
BET: Jalen Hurts Over 41.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
DimersBOT has Hurts as an 82.0% chance of rushing for Over 41.5 yards tonight so, at odds of -110, betting Jalen Over 41.5 rushing yards gives us an edge of 29.6%. We need to place this bet with PointsBet Sportsbook to ensure we maximize this edge, and new customers can also get 5x $100 risk-free bets by joining here.
4. NFL: Eagles vs. Texans
BET: Brevin Jordan Over 15.5 Receiving Yards (-125)
Our predictive analytics model has determined that Jordan is a 72.0% chance of going over the sportsbook line of 15.5 receiving yards tonight. While we're only getting -125 for him to do so, when you consider the true odds should be closer to -150, we're getting a 16.5 edge vs, the odds on offer over a Caesars Sportsbook.
5. NBA: Warriors vs. Magic
BET: Wendell Carter Over 9.5 Total Rebounds (-102)
Turning to the NBA and next up we have Wendell Carter Over 9.5 boards vs. Steph Curry and the Warriors. Our super computer has marked him down for 12.6 rebounds, so with -102 odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook, we can bet his Over with a 15.8% edge. New FanDuel customers can register an account here and score a $1000 risk-free bet.
6. NFL: Eagles vs. Texans
BET: Davis Mills Under 34.5 Passing Attempts (+100)
We're predicting there's a 65.2% chance Mills doesn't get to the 34.5 passing attempts line set by DraftKings Sportsbook. Given the +100 odds on offer, this represents an nice edge of 15.2% against their odds. To maximize the value we're getting here we need to bet this with DraftKings Sportsbook where new users can bet $5 and score $200 in bonuses if their ticket cashes. Join DKs here.
7. NFL: Eagles vs. Texans
BET: Brandin Cooks Under 61.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
After over 10,000 simulations of Thursday Night Football our predictive analytics model gives Cooks a 68.3% chance of not hitting his receiving yards line of 61.5 against the Eagles. With -115 odds on offer, we'll bet his Under with an edge of 14.8% at DraftKings where new users can get that bet $5, win $200 in bonuses offer. Join DKs here.
8. NFL: Eagles vs. Texans
BET: Jalen Hurts Over 28.5 Passing Attempts (-108)
DimersBOT is all over Hurts tonight and has the Eagles QB as a 65.8% chance of going Over 28.5 passing attempts. With seemingly very generous odds of -108 available, and based on our predictive analytics model, we calculate an edge of 13.9% here. Place this bet with PointsBet Sportsbook to ensure we maximize this edge, and new customers can also get 5x $100 risk-free bets by joining here.
9. NBA: Nuggets vs. Thunder
BET: Nikola Jokic Over 13.5 Total Rebounds (+102)
Back to the NBA and this time we're going after Jokic Over 13.5 boards vs. OKC. DimersBOT has marked him down for 15.7 rebounds, well in excess of this 13.5 line, so with +102 odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook we can bet his Over with a 12.5% edge. New FanDuel customers can register an account here and score a $1000 risk-free bet.
10. Warriors vs. Magic
BET: Stephen Curry Over 4.5 3-Pointers Made (+126)
Our predictive analytics model has determined that Steph will hit 5.1 threes tonight against Orlando, so we're taking the Over 4.5 3-pointers made play here. We're getting +126 for him to do so, and when you consider his true odds should be closer to +110, we're getting a 12.3 edge vs. the odds on offer over a Caesars Sportsbook.
What Is A Player Prop Bet?
For NBA we use the Total Points, Rebounds, Three-Pointers, Blocks, Steals and Turnovers player prop markets, then match them against the results of our simulations, to give us a massive opportunity to identify the best NBA player prop bets for Thursday, with the biggest edges, to throw our cash down on today.
For NFL we use the First touchdown, Anytime touchdown, Rushing yards, Receiving yards, Passing attempts, Passing completions and Passing yards player prop markets, then match them against the results of our simulations, to give us a massive opportunity to identify the best NFL player prop bets for Thursday, with the biggest edges, to throw our cash down on today.
While for NHL we scan the First goal and Anytime goal player prop markets, then matching them against the results of our simulations, to give us a massive opportunity to identify the best NHL player prop bets for Thursday, with the biggest edges, to throw our cash down on today.
