Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Washington Capitals Prediction, Odds, NHL Picks [12/23/2023]

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Washington Capitals Prediction, Odds, NHL Picks  [12/23/2023]

NHL action continues on Saturday at 7:00PM ET as the Tampa Bay Lightning square off with the Washington Capitals at Capital One Arena.

Dimers.com's full betting preview for Saturday's Lightning vs. Capitals matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

Lightning vs. Capitals Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread

We have used trusted machine learning and statistics to simulate the result of Saturday's NHL game between the Lightning and Capitals 10,000 times, in line with our coverage of NHL picks.

Our popular predictive analytics model currently gives the Lightning a 56% chance of defeating the Capitals.

According to our model, the Capitals (+1.5) have a 66% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal Over/Under has a 54% chance of going under.

To make the most of today's Tampa Bay vs. Washington betting preview, check out the best sportsbook promos currently available in your state.

Lightning vs. Capitals Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Lightning Capitals
Puck Line -1.5 (+170) +1.5 (-190)
Moneyline -140 +125
Total o6.5 (+104) u6.5 (-115)
  • The Capitals are currently +1.5 underdogs versus the Lightning, with -190 at BetMGM Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
  • For the favored Lightning (-1.5) to cover the puck line, DraftKings Sportsbook has the best odds currently on the market at +170.
  • FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Capitals at +125, which means you can bet $100 to profit $125, earning a total payout of $225, if they win.
  • Meanwhile, DraftKings currently has the best moneyline odds for the Lightning at -140, where you can risk $140 to win $100 for a total payout of $240 if they come out on top.
  • The Over/Under for total goals scored is set at 6.5 with FanDuel, which currently has the best odds for the Over at +104, while BetMGM currently has the best odds for the Under at -115.

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

As always, make sure you check all of the sportsbooks that are available in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.

Lightning vs. Capitals Picks

By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have determined the best betting picks to make on this game:

Bet Type Our Pick Best Odds
Puck Line Capitals +1.5 -190
Moneyline Capitals +125
Total Under 6.5 -115


While the Lightning are more likely to win the game, taking the Capitals moneyline is the best option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Dimers is crucial to achieving long-term profitability as a bettor.

Dimers' NHL best bets are based on world-class simulations and wagering expertise to bring you the best possible plays every time.

Lightning vs. Capitals Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Lightning vs. Capitals?

According to our model, Tampa Bay's Brayden Point is most likely to score the first goal in Lightning vs. Capitals.

Our projections give Point a 9.4% chance of scoring the first goal at Capital One Arena, while the Lightning star is a 41.3% chance of registering an anytime goal.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player First Goal Probability
Brayden Point 9.4%
Nikita Kucherov 6.9%
Steven Stamkos 6.3%
Brandon Hagel 5.1%
Nick Paul 4.2%

Washington Capitals

Player First Goal Probability
Alex Ovechkin 7.3%
Tom Wilson 5.6%
Dylan Strome 5.5%
Nic Dowd 4.0%
Evgeny Kuznetsov 3.8%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Brayden Point 41.3%
Nikita Kucherov 36.2%
Steven Stamkos 33.9%
Brandon Hagel 29.1%
Nick Paul 24.1%

Washington Capitals

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Alex Ovechkin 36.9%
Dylan Strome 29.9%
Tom Wilson 27.9%
Nic Dowd 21.3%
Anthony Mantha 20.4%
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for any changes to our betting analysis ahead of the Lightning vs. Capitals on Saturday December 23, 2023.

Lightning vs. Capitals Game Information

Saturday's game between the Capitals and Lightning at Capital One Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.


Our full betting coverage of Lightning vs. Capitals includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.

How to Bet on Lightning vs. Capitals

Ready to join an online sportsbook and start betting on the NHL now? Check out the best sportsbook promos in your state.


This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on Saturday's Lightning vs. Capitals matchup, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

Dimers' picks and predictions are based on 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While our Lightning vs. Capitals predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial arrangement with (such as a sportsbook), we may earn a referral fee at no additional cost to you.

More on NHL

Stay up-to-date with the latest NHL news and our data-led NHL picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds give you the latest projections and the best available odds on the Stanley Cup winner.

Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen has a track record of delivering high-quality content. He writes about all sports, but his favorites are the NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL. Kevin enjoys crunching the numbers and using data-driven insights to take on the sportsbooks. The majority of Kevin's time is spent writing about sports betting. His love for data and analytics drove him into the world of sports betting. Finding an edge in sports betting can take a long time, but Kevin believes it is well worth the effort. Kevin is just as passionate about sports as you are, and he empowers fellow bettors to become more educated through simple, actionable betting tips. It can be difficult to navigate the world of sports betting, which is where Kevin comes in to make it as simple as possible for you to pick a winner.

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