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Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Florida Panthers Prediction, Odds, NHL Picks [4/21/2024]

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Florida Panthers Prediction, Odds, NHL Picks [4/21/2024]

The Florida Panthers will take on the Tampa Bay Lightning in the 2024 NHL Playoffs at Amerant Bank Arena on Sunday, starting at 12:30PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Sunday's Lightning vs. Panthers matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

THIS WEEK ONLY: Use the code DIMERSANNUAL at checkout to get 20% off an annual Dimers Pro subscription. That's less than $17 a month. Join now and get unlimited access to all our NHL insights.

Lightning vs. Panthers Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line

We have used advanced machine learning and data to simulate the outcome of Sunday's NHL Playoffs game between the Lightning and Panthers 10,000 times, in line with our coverage of NHL predictions.

Our popular predictive analytics model currently gives the Panthers a 58% chance of beating the Lightning.

According to our model, the Lightning (+1.5) have a 65% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 56% chance of going over.

The Stanley Cup Playoffs (aka NHL Playoffs) is the NHL's postseason elimination tournament to decide the winner of the Stanley Cup.

A total of 16 teams, including the Lightning and Panthers, reached the 2024 NHL Playoffs, which consists of four rounds: the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.

Each round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins progressing to the next round until a champion is crowned.

Lightning vs. Panthers Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Lightning Panthers
Puck Line +1.5 (-165) -1.5 (+150)
Moneyline +160 -178
Total o5.5 (-132) u5.5 (+114)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Lightning vs. Panthers Picks

At Dimers, our predictions, coupled with the latest odds, reveal the top betting picks for every game, including Lightning vs. Panthers. Our NHL best bets are based on expert modeling and analysis, as you can see.

With an edge of 2.4%, a pick from the Lightning vs. Panthers game is featured in today's best bets on Dimers Pro.

Dimers Pro subscribers get hundreds of data-driven bets daily across thousands of games. Join now to get instant access and see the pick we have for this game, plus any potential props.

EXCLUSIVE: Save $50 on an annual subscription for a limited time only by using code DIMERSANNUAL at the Dimers Pro checkout.

 

Lightning vs. Panthers Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Lightning vs. Panthers?

According to our model, Tampa Bay's Brayden Point is most likely to score the first goal in Lightning vs. Panthers.

Our projections give Point a 7.7% chance of scoring the first goal at Amerant Bank Arena, while the Lightning star is a 39.3% chance of netting an anytime goal.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player First Goal Probability
Brayden Point 7.7%
Steven Stamkos 7.2%
Anthony Duclair 5.1%
Nikita Kucherov 4.9%
Brandon Hagel 4.3%

Florida Panthers

Player First Goal Probability
Sam Reinhart 7.2%
Aleksander Barkov 5.8%
Carter Verhaeghe 5.5%
Matthew Tkachuk 5.1%
Vladimir Tarasenko 4.3%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Brayden Point 39.3%
Steven Stamkos 33.8%
Anthony Duclair 26.4%
Nikita Kucherov 26.3%
Nick Paul 23.7%

Florida Panthers

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Sam Reinhart 35.7%
Aleksander Barkov 31.4%
Matthew Tkachuk 28.7%
Carter Verhaeghe 27.2%
Vladimir Tarasenko 25.2%

Lightning vs. Panthers Game Information

Sunday's action between the Panthers and Lightning in the Stanley Cup Playoffs is scheduled to commence at 12:30PM ET.

 

Our full coverage of the Lightning vs. Panthers includes pregame predictions, betting picks and live win probabilities.

Conclusion

We predict the Panthers, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Lightning on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lightning vs. Panthers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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More on NHL

Stay up-to-date with the most recent NHL news and our data-led NHL picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds give you the most up-to-date predictions and the best available odds on the Stanley Cup winner.

Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience as a sports and betting expert, serves as the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, where he steers the editorial and digital content strategy for leading platforms like Dimers.com, Stats Insider and Gambling Today. Specializing in soccer, Nick brings a global perspective to his coverage of the sport, including detailed analyses of MLS games. He also contributes to NHL content through game previews, best bets, and props, and lends his expertise to crafting NBA first basket betting content. 

With a robust background as a journalist and broadcaster, Nick has been a trusted voice on major networks and channels such as Fox Sports, WCBV-TV Boston, ESPN, ABC, and others. His profound understanding of sports and betting dynamics has made him a sought-after authority in the wagering and gambling industries.

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