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Buccaneers vs. Falcons Prediction: Atlanta Predicted to Win After New Data Released for TNF Week 5 [2024]

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Written by Mac Douglass
Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Atlanta Falcons Predictions and Game Preview.
Mercedes-Benz Stadium sets the stage for the NFL matchup between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Atlanta Falcons this Thursday.

The Atlanta Falcons will face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in NFL Week 5 action at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Thursday, beginning at 8:15PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Falcons as the most likely winner of the game.

"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Buccaneers-Falcons game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Falcons with a win probability of 57% and the Buccaneers with 43%."

Bucs vs. Falcons Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 5 game between the Falcons and Buccaneers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:15PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Thursday's Buccaneers vs. Falcons matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Falcons vs. Buccaneers picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

READER EXCLUSIVE: Sign up with code 20FOOTBALL at checkout right now to receive 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! This offer won't last forever.

Buccaneers vs. Falcons Predictions

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NFL matchup between the Buccaneers and Falcons 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Falcons a 57% chance of defeating the Buccaneers in Week 5 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Falcons winning 22-21.

According to our model, the Buccaneers (+2.5) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the 43.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of going over.

 

In addition to our Buccaneers vs. Falcons predictions, we've also prepared the following for this week's action:

Buccaneers vs. Falcons Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Buccaneers Falcons
Spread +2.5 (-102) -2.5 (-110)
Moneyline +120 -135
Total o43.5 (-110) u43.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Buccaneers vs. Falcons Picks

Our model's biggest edge in the Buccaneers vs. Falcons matchup is on the over/under.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Buccaneers vs. Falcons TD Scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Buccaneers vs. Falcons?

According to our model, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is most likely to score the first touchdown in Buccaneers vs. Falcons.

Our projections give Robinson a 13.9% chance of getting in for six first at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, while the Falcons RB is a 52.9% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Player First TD Probability
Chris Godwin 9.4%
Mike Evans 9.4%
Rachaad White 7.5%

Atlanta Falcons

Player First TD Probability
Bijan Robinson 13.9%
Drake London 9.6%
Darnell Mooney 6.7%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Player Anytime TD Probability
Mike Evans 40.4%
Chris Godwin 39.7%
Bucky Irving 33.5%

Atlanta Falcons

Player Anytime TD Probability
Bijan Robinson 52.9%
Drake London 40.5%
Darnell Mooney 30.0%

Buccaneers vs Falcons Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Buccaneers and Falcons. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Buccaneers-Falcons page now to access every player prop projection.

Buccaneers vs. Falcons Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Buccaneers' Baker Mayfield is projected to throw for more yards than the Falcons' Kirk Cousins.

Buccaneers Rushing

Bucky Irving, Rachaad White and Baker Mayfield are projected to be the leading rushers for the Buccaneers.

Player Position
Bucky Irving RB
Rachaad White RB
Baker Mayfield QB

Falcons Rushing

Bijan Robinson, Tyler Allgeier and Kirk Cousins are expected to lead the Falcons in rushing yards.

Player Position
Bijan Robinson RB
Tyler Allgeier RB
Kirk Cousins QB

Buccaneers Receiving

Chris Godwin, Mike Evans, Cade Otton, Rachaad White and Sterling Shepard are projected to top the receiving yards for the Buccaneers.

Player Position
Chris Godwin WR
Mike Evans WR
Cade Otton TE
Rachaad White RB
Sterling Shepard WR

Falcons Receiving

Drake London, Darnell Mooney, Ray-Ray McCloud, Kyle Pitts and Bijan Robinson are projected to lead the Falcons in receiving yards.

Player Position
Drake London WR
Darnell Mooney WR
Ray-Ray McCloud WR
Kyle Pitts TE
Bijan Robinson RB

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Conclusion

We predict the Falcons, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Buccaneers on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Buccaneers vs. Falcons insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Keep up with the latest NFL betting news and our data-driven NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the latest projections for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac brings a well-traveled perspective and broad sports knowledge to Dimers, specializing in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets and Formula 1 race previews. Known for finding top new user promos across major sportsbooks, Mac enhances the betting experience for both novices and veterans.

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