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The big day is finally here! Super Bowl LVII is now upon us as the Kansas City Chiefs take on the Philadelphia Eagles. We've teamed up with NFL expert Monotone Football to use our DimersBOT NFL projections to cook up our very best Same Game Parlay for the big one. Featuring players such as Patrick Mahomes, Jalen Hurts and Jerick McKinnon, read on for our full analysis below, and don't forget to check out our NFL Super Bowl Bet Hub before kickoff.
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Same Game Parlay: Bengals vs. Bills
One of the first things I noticed when looking at the Dimers' projection bot was we both heavily agreed on Jerick McKinnon in this game. While a lot of the hype was turned to rookie Isiah Pacheco after an impressive game against the Bengals in the AFC Championship, I think McKinnon has a bounceback here. He definitely hasn't had a very explosive playoffs yet, but he showed his explosive yet dependable playstyle plenty during the regular season. The Eagles matchup is always particularly important because of how good their defense is. Darius Slay, James Bradbery, and Chauncey Gardner-Johnson make up the best secondary in football, making the lives of their traditional pass catchers tougher. Now you have to combine that with the fact that the Eagles lead the league in pressure rate and sacks this season, which will have pressure in Mahomes' face at all times.
With the defensive line and secondary so strong, I think it will make a lot of sense for expert players called Andy Reid to focus in on the short passing game. An aspect that isn't talked about much, but is important, is McKinnon's pass blocking abilities. While that does take away some chances, it does also mean he will be out there, and can benefit from some unplanned checkdowns. I think both McKinnon and Pacheco will be involved this week, but I think we are getting some value considering McKinnon was up in the mid-thirties in their first playoff game.
BEST BETS: Our best plays for Chiefs vs. Eagles
Speaking of Chiefs receiving yardage props, let's pivot over to Patrick Mahomes passing touchdowns. With a game total currently set at 51, and a pass heavy Chiefs team, I really don't see why this number isn't 2.5. Mahomes is the best quarterback in football, and will likely be put in a position where he needs to win this game with his arm. One important aspect of this bet is Mahomes injury and someone with limited mobility, while he should be in good health, I do think there is a decreased likelihood of a quarterback rush. Dimers projections have pass catchers as four of their five top highest touchdown percentage players, with Pachecho our biggest worry. In a game with Mahomes throwing passes, Kelce catching them, and a 51 total, give me the MVP to convert two through the air.
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Finally we’re going to be talking about Jalen Hurts and his rushing yards. I’m a sucker for mobile quarterbacks in playoff games, and would honestly be betting both of these guys if the health was slightly better. Hurts has been the absolute king in designed runs this season, and his creative usage is so important to their gameplan. The Eagles strategically use the rushing game to open up the deep passing game, and the safeties will surely have to respect Hurts in this one. I think this play is game script agnostic, but if the Eagles pop up to a lead, then it becomes very hard to slow down the two headed monster of Sanders and Hurts running down your throat. If they go down, I could see a lot of shorter scrambles built up against deeper safeties, especially compiling some chunk plays on 2-minute drills. Hurts is one of the most dependable rushers in football, and he should be willing to put his body at risk in the biggest game. The projections have him for 54 yards, and I think he should end up going over that number as well.
Best Super Bowl LVII Parlay
🔥 Jerick McKinnon 25+ Receiving Yards
🔥 Patrick Mahomes Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
🔥 Jalen Hurts 40+ Rushing Yards