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Seahawks vs. Patriots prediction: Seattle favored to win Super Bowl LX
Get Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots predictions for Super Bowl LX.

The New England Patriots will square off with the favored Seattle Seahawks in Super Bowl LX at Levi's Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 6:30 PM ET.
Both the Pats and Seahawks finished the regular season 14–3, arriving via contrasting conference title games, with New England winning a snow-impacted AFC Championship and Seattle prevailing 31-27 in the NFC Championship.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model predicts the Seahawks as the most likely winner of the Seahawks vs. Patriots game.
This projection sets up a game shaped by differing offensive approaches, with Drake Maye guiding a controlled Patriots attack and Jaxon Smith-Njigba entering as the matchup's star playmaker on Seattle's side.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Super Bowl 2026 prediction: Who will win the big game?
Since our Seahawks-Patriots predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Super Bowl LX between the Seahawks and Patriots 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Seahawks a 62% chance of beating the Patriots. Our predicted final score has the Seahawks winning 24-21.
According to our model, the Patriots (+4.5) have a 60% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 45.5 points has a 53% chance of going over.
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 22 straight up picks.
Super Bowl odds
We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Seahawks | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -4.5 (-105) | +4.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -230 | +195 |
| Total | o45.5 (-105) | u45.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Seahawks vs. Patriots picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Patriots +4.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Patriots | +195 |
| Total | Over 45.5 | -105 |
According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Patriots +4.5 at the spread.
Seahawks vs. Patriots TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in the Seahawks vs. Patriots Super Bowl?
According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 22, Kenneth Walker is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in the Super Bowl.
Our projections give Walker a 53.7% chance of scoring a TD at Levi's Stadium, while the running back is a 14.6% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Seattle Seahawks
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker (RB) | 53.7% |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR) | 45.1% |
| AJ Barner (TE) | 26.8% |
| Cooper Kupp (WR) | 23.2% |
| Rashid Shaheed (WR) | 18.9% |
New England Patriots
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Rhamondre Stevenson (RB) | 45.3% |
| Hunter Henry (TE) | 28.3% |
| Stefon Diggs (WR) | 25.3% |
| Drake Maye (QB) | 25.2% |
| Kayshon Boutte (WR) | 22.1% |
First touchdown scorer predictions
Seattle Seahawks
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker (RB) | 14.6% |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR) | 11.4% |
| AJ Barner (TE) | 5.9% |
| Cooper Kupp (WR) | 5.0% |
| Rashid Shaheed (WR) | 4.0% |
New England Patriots
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Rhamondre Stevenson (RB) | 10.2% |
| Hunter Henry (TE) | 5.6% |
| Stefon Diggs (WR) | 4.9% |
| Drake Maye (QB) | 4.9% |
| Kayshon Boutte (WR) | 4.2% |
Seahawks vs Patriots player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Seahawks and Patriots. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Seahawks' Sam Darnold is projected for 227 passing yards, while the Patriots' Drake Maye is expected to throw for 232 yards.
| Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
|---|---|
| Sam Darnold (SEA) | 227 |
| Drake Maye (NE) | 232 |
Seahawks rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker | 78 |
| George Holani | 12 |
| Sam Darnold | 8 |
Patriots rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 55 |
| Drake Maye | 36 |
| TreVeyon Henderson | 21 |
Seahawks receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 95 |
| Cooper Kupp | 40 |
| AJ Barner | 29 |
| Rashid Shaheed | 28 |
| Kenneth Walker | 23 |
Patriots receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Stefon Diggs | 51 |
| Hunter Henry | 43 |
| Kayshon Boutte | 37 |
| Mack Hollins | 32 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 27 |
Seahawks vs. Patriots game-day updates and essential details
The Super Bowl game between the Patriots and Seahawks at Levi's Stadium is scheduled to commence at 6:30 PM ET.
- Who: Seattle Seahawks vs. New England Patriots
- Date: Sunday, February 8, 2026
- Time: 6:30 PM ET/3:30PM PT
- Venue: Levi's Stadium
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Conclusion
We predict the Seahawks, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat the Patriots on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Seahawks vs. Patriots insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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