Seahawks vs. Patriots prediction: Seattle favored to win Super Bowl LX

The New England Patriots will face the favored Seattle Seahawks in Super Bowl LX at Levi's Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 6:30 PM ET.

Both the Pats and Seahawks finished the regular season 14–3, arriving via contrasting conference title games, with New England winning a snow-impacted AFC Championship and Seattle prevailing 31-27 in the NFC Championship.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model projects the Seahawks as the most likely winner of the Seahawks vs. Patriots game.

This projection sets up a game shaped by differing offensive approaches, with Drake Maye guiding a controlled Patriots attack and Jaxon Smith-Njigba entering as the matchup's star playmaker on Seattle's side.

This article offers an expanded analysis of this week's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Super Bowl 2026 prediction: Who will win the big game?

Since our Seahawks-Patriots predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the outcome of Super Bowl LX between the Seahawks and Patriots 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Seahawks a 62% chance of defeating the Patriots. Our predicted final score has the Seahawks winning 24-21.

According to our model, the Patriots (+4.5) have a 60% chance of covering the spread, while the 45.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of going over.

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 22 straight up picks.

Super Bowl odds

We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Seahawks	Patriots
Spread	-4.5 (-105)	+4.5 (-105)
Moneyline	-230	+195
Total	o45.5 (-105)	u45.5 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Seahawks vs. Patriots picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Patriots +4.5	-105
Moneyline	Patriots	+195
Total	Over 45.5	-105

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Patriots +4.5 at the spread.

Seahawks vs. Patriots TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in the Seahawks vs. Patriots Super Bowl?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, Rhamondre Stevenson is most likely to score an anytime TD in the Super Bowl.

Our projections give Stevenson a 56.9% chance of getting in for six at Levi's Stadium, while the running back is a 12.3% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Seattle Seahawks

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Kenneth Walker (RB)	48.5%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR)	44.3%
AJ Barner (TE)	29.5%
Cooper Kupp (WR)	22.5%
George Holani (RB)	19.5%

New England Patriots

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Rhamondre Stevenson (RB)	56.9%
Hunter Henry (TE)	30.9%
Drake Maye (QB)	29.5%
Stefon Diggs (WR)	26.8%
Kayshon Boutte (WR)	23.7%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Seattle Seahawks

Player	First TD Probability
Kenneth Walker (RB)	12.9%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR)	11.3%
AJ Barner (TE)	6.8%
Cooper Kupp (WR)	4.9%
George Holani (RB)	4.2%

New England Patriots

Player	First TD Probability
Rhamondre Stevenson (RB)	12.3%
Hunter Henry (TE)	5.4%
Drake Maye (QB)	5.1%
Stefon Diggs (WR)	4.6%
Kayshon Boutte (WR)	3.9%

Seahawks vs Patriots player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Seahawks and Patriots. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Seahawks' Sam Darnold is projected for 226 passing yards, while the Patriots' Drake Maye is expected to throw for 231 yards.

Player	Proj. Pass Yards
Sam Darnold (SEA)	226
Drake Maye (NE)	231

Seahawks rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Kenneth Walker	78
George Holani	12
Sam Darnold	8

Patriots rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Rhamondre Stevenson	56
Drake Maye	36
TreVeyon Henderson	21

Seahawks receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Jaxon Smith-Njigba	95
Cooper Kupp	40
AJ Barner	29
Rashid Shaheed	28
Kenneth Walker	23

Patriots receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Stefon Diggs	51
Hunter Henry	43
Kayshon Boutte	37
Mack Hollins	32
Rhamondre Stevenson	27

Seahawks vs. Patriots game-day updates and essential details

The Super Bowl game between the Patriots and Seahawks at Levi's Stadium is scheduled to start at 6:30 PM ET.

• Who: Seattle Seahawks vs. New England Patriots
• Date: Sunday, February 8, 2026
• Time: 6:30 PM ET/3:30PM PT
• Venue: Levi's Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict the Seahawks, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat the Patriots on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Seahawks vs. Patriots insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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