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Spurs vs. Nuggets prediction: San Antonio to win, Victor Wembanyama projected for big game in Saturday's NBA matchup [4/4/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets predictions for NBA Saturday.
The Denver Nuggets will take on the San Antonio Spurs in NBA action at Ball Arena on Saturday, starting at 3:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Spurs as the most likely winner of the Spurs vs. Nuggets game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Nuggets lineup will feature stars like Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon, while the Spurs will rely on Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle and De'Aaron Fox.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Spurs vs. Nuggets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NBA game between the Spurs and Nuggets, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Spurs a 56% chance of beating the Nuggets. Our predicted final score has the Spurs winning 121-119.
According to our model, the Nuggets (+2) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 242.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.
Spurs vs. Nuggets odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Spurs | Nuggets |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -2 (-110) | +2 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -132 | +120 |
| Total | o242.5 (-112) | u242.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Spurs vs. Nuggets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Nuggets +2 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Nuggets | +120 |
| Total | Under 242.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 242.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Spurs vs. Nuggets player props
NBA prop bets are a common way to wager on the San Antonio vs. Denver matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Ball Arena.
Victor Wembanyama is expected to lead the Spurs with 29 points, 12 rebounds and 4 assists, while Nikola Jokic is projected to have 27 points, 13 rebounds and 12 assists for the Nuggets.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Spurs prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Spurs are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Wembanyama | 29 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 60 |
| Stephon Castle | 17 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 42 |
| De'Aaron Fox | 15 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 33 |
| Keldon Johnson | 14 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 24 |
| Devin Vassell | 13 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 26 |
Nuggets prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Nuggets:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | 27 | 13 | 12 | 2 | 69 |
| Jamal Murray | 25 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 47 |
| Aaron Gordon | 15 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 29 |
| Tim Hardaway | 12 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 20 |
| Cameron Johnson | 12 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 23 |
Spurs vs. Nuggets game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between the Nuggets and Spurs at Ball Arena is scheduled to start at 3:00 PM ET.
- Who: San Antonio Spurs vs. Denver Nuggets
- Date: Saturday, April 4, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: Ball Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Spurs, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Nuggets on Saturday, with Nikola Jokic projected for a game-high 69 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Spurs vs. Nuggets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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