San Antonio Spurs vs. Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Odds, NBA Picks [12/23/2023]

San Antonio Spurs vs. Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Odds, NBA Picks  [12/23/2023]

The Dallas Mavericks will face the San Antonio Spurs in NBA action at American Airlines Center on Saturday, beginning at 8:30PM ET.'s in-depth betting preview for Saturday's Spurs vs. Mavericks matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

Spurs vs. Mavericks Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread

We have used trusted machine learning and statistical analysis to simulate the outcome of Saturday's NBA matchup between the Spurs and Mavericks 10,000 times, in keeping with our coverage of NBA predictions.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Mavericks a 73% chance of defeating the Spurs, and our predicted final score has the Mavericks winning 123-116.

According to our model, the Spurs (+7.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 242.5-point Over/Under has a 55% chance of going under.

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Spurs vs. Mavericks Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Spurs Mavericks
Spread +7.5 (-105) -7.5 (-115)
Moneyline +280 -340
Total o242.5 (-110) u242.5 (-110)
  • The Mavericks are currently -7.5 favorites against the Spurs, with -115 at BetMGM Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
  • For the underdog Spurs (+7.5) to cover the spread, BetMGM also has the best odds currently on offer at -105.
  • FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Mavericks at -340, which means you can risk $340 to win $100 for a total payout of $440 if they get the W.
  • On the other hand, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Spurs at +280, where you can bet $100 to profit $280, earning a total payout of $380 if they win.
  • The Over/Under sits at 242.5 with FanDuel, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, as well as the best odds for the Under at -110.

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

As always, make sure you check all the sportsbooks that are available in your state for the best NBA odds and lines.

Spurs vs. Mavericks Picks

By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have determined the best betting picks for this game:

Bet Type Our Pick Best Odds
Spread Spurs +7.5 -105
Moneyline Spurs +280
Total Under 242.5 -110


While the Mavericks are more likely to win the game, betting on the Spurs moneyline is the best option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Dimers is crucial to achieving long-term profitability as a bettor.

Our NBA best bets are based on complex simulations and gambling intelligence to bring you the best possible plays every day of the year.

Spurs vs. Mavericks Player Props

NBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on Saturday's Spurs vs. Mavericks matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome.

We uss the best information available to project key individual stats for each team, such as points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers.

Victor Wembanyama is expected to lead the way for the Spurs with 25 points, 11 rebounds and 3 assists, while Luka Doncic is projected to finish with 39 points, 9 rebounds and 9 assists for the Mavericks.

Spurs Prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Spurs:

Victor Wembanyama 25 11 3 2
Keldon Johnson 19 6 4 2
Devin Vassell 18 4 3 3
Jeremy Sochan 16 6 3 1
Zach Collins 13 5 2 1

Mavericks Prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers for the Mavericks:

Luka Doncic 39 9 9 4
Tim Hardaway 16 4 2 4
Dante Exum 14 5 4 1
Derrick Jones 11 4 1 2
Grant Williams 11 4 2 2

For more help with your NBA prop betting, check out the best NBA betting trends for today's games.

Don't forget, our model updates often, so check this page for the latest betting insights ahead of the Spurs vs. Mavericks on Saturday December 23, 2023.

Spurs vs. Mavericks Game Information

Saturday's action between the Mavericks and Spurs at American Airlines Center is scheduled to start at 8:30PM ET.


Our full coverage of Spurs vs. Mavericks includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.

How to Bet on Spurs vs. Mavericks

Want to join an online sportsbook and start betting on the NBA? We've got access to the best available NBA promo offers in each legal betting state.

Calling Our Shot 🏀 Free Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily NBA betting content, including the latest predictions featured below.


This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on Saturday's Spurs vs. Mavericks clash, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

Our predictions are based on 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While these Spurs vs. Mavericks predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial arrangement with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee at no additional cost to you.

More on NBA

Stay updated with the latest NBA betting news and our analytics-driven NBA picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our NBA championship odds give you the most up-to-date numbers and the best available odds on the NBA Finals, as well as the Eastern and Western conferences.

Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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