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Kings vs. Hawks prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win Saturday's NBA game [3/28/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Sacramento Kings vs Atlanta Hawks predictions for NBA Saturday.
NBA action continues on Saturday at 7:30 PM ET as the Sacramento Kings take on the favored Atlanta Hawks at State Farm Arena.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Hawks as the most likely winner of the Kings vs. Hawks game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Hawks lineup will feature players like Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker and CJ McCollum, while the Kings will look to DeMar DeRozan, Maxime Raynaud and Malik Monk.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Kings vs. Hawks prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NBA matchup between the Kings and Hawks, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Hawks an 86% chance of defeating the Kings. Our predicted final score has the Hawks winning 124-111.
According to our model, the Kings (+14.5) have a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 236.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.
Kings vs. Hawks odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Kings | Hawks |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +14.5 (-105) | -14.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | +700 | -1000 |
| Total | o236.5 (-110) | u236.5 (-106) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Kings vs. Hawks picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Kings +14.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Kings | +700 |
| Total | Under 236.5 | -106 |
According to our NBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Kings +14.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Kings vs. Hawks player props
Looking for Kings vs. Hawks NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at State Farm Arena.
DeMar DeRozan is expected to lead the Kings with 19 points, 3 rebounds and 5 assists, while Jalen Johnson is projected to have 25 points, 10 rebounds and 9 assists for the Hawks.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Kings prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Kings are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan | 19 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 33 |
| Maxime Raynaud | 16 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 34 |
| Malik Monk | 15 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 28 |
| P. Achiuwa | 13 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 32 |
| Daeqwon Plowden | 13 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 23 |
Hawks prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Hawks:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson | 25 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 55 |
| N. Alexander-Walker | 20 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 37 |
| CJ McCollum | 19 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 35 |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 15 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 |
| Dyson Daniels | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 36 |
Kings vs. Hawks game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's action between the Hawks and Kings at State Farm Arena is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Sacramento Kings vs. Atlanta Hawks
- Date: Saturday, March 28, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: State Farm Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Hawks, with an 86% win probability, will likely beat the Kings on Saturday, with Jalen Johnson projected for a game-high 55 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Kings vs. Hawks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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