Reds @ Pirates: Predictions, picks and bets

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua
Reds @ Pirates: Predictions, picks and bets

After a doubleheader that was split evenly yesterday, the Pittsburgh Pirates and Cincinnati Reds will be looking to gain the upper hand in their weekend series when the two renew hostilities this afternoon.

Both teams sport season records well below .500 and neither side’s recent form instills much confidence for today. But nevertheless, there must be a winner, and at Dimers we’ve crunched the numbers to provide you with the best plays of the day.


Dimers' Suggested Plays
🔥BEST: Pirates +1.5 (-131*) to cover the run line
💵Moneyline: Reds  (-140*)
👆Over/Under: o9 runs (-121*)
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BEST
Run line: Pirates +1.5 (-131*) has a 57% probability

While the teams were playing 7-inning games as part of their doubleheader yesterday, the two games were close throughout. We’re expecting another tight contest today with the Pirates just being able to cover the run line.

Moneyline
Reds (-140*) has a 55% chance of winning

Even though we’re expecting Pittsburgh to cover the run line, our analysis still anticipates a Reds win at the moneyline by the closest of margins. Starting Pirates pitcher Terry Williams is a dreadful 1-5 so far this season. Get up to 40% winnings boost with BetMGM when you opt-in and place a 4+ leg parlay on any combination of sports or events.

Over/Under
o9 runs (-121*) has a 54% chance of going over

Just on the starting pitchers, and both Williams and Anthony DeSclafani for the Reds have been giving up hits and runs at will this season. Look for that to continue in this one. Take the over.

Dimers' take-out

These teams couldn’t be split yesterday with some close baseball. We expect it to open up a little bit today with some pitchers who are out of form.

⚾️ Check out our best MLB plays for the day

*odds are correct at time of publishing

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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