Real Sociedad vs. Valencia prediction, odds, La Liga picks [5/17/2026]

Real Sociedad will square off with Valencia in La Liga action at Anoeta on Sunday, beginning at 1:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven La Liga model predicts Real Sociedad as the most likely winner of the Real Sociedad vs. Valencia game.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Real Sociedad vs. Valencia prediction: Who will win?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's La Liga match between Real Sociedad and Valencia, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model indicates a 42.5% chance of Real Sociedad winning, a 31.4% chance for Valencia, and a 26.1% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 52% chance of staying under, according to our model.

Real Sociedad vs. Valencia odds

We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Real Sociedad	Valencia	Draw
+145	+200	+240

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-106	-118

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Real Sociedad vs. Valencia picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Moneyline	Real Sociedad	+145
Total Goals	Under 2.5	-118

According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Real Sociedad to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Real Sociedad vs. Valencia: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
SOC 1-1 VAL	12.4%
SOC 1-0 VAL	10.5%
SOC 2-1 VAL	8.8%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 52.8% chance of both sides finding the net and a 47.2% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Real Sociedad vs. Valencia game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's La Liga game between Real Sociedad and Valencia at Anoeta is scheduled to begin in the United States at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: Real Sociedad vs. Valencia
• Date: Sunday, May 17, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Anoeta

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Real Sociedad has a 42.5% win probability on Sunday, Valencia has a 31.4% win probability, and there is a 26.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.