Real Sociedad vs. Valencia prediction, odds, La Liga picks [5/17/2026]

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Written by Nick Slade

Get Real Sociedad vs Valencia predictions for La Liga Sunday.

Real Sociedad-Valencia Predictions and Game Preview.
Real Sociedad vs. Valencia La Liga prediction for Sunday, May 17, 2026.

La Liga action continues on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET as Valencia takes on Real Sociedad at Anoeta.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced La Liga model projects Real Sociedad as the most likely winner of the Real Sociedad vs. Valencia game.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Real Sociedad vs. Valencia prediction: Who will win?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's La Liga match between Real Sociedad and Valencia, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model suggests a 45.2% chance of Real Sociedad winning, a 29.2% chance for Valencia, and a 25.7% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 51% chance of staying under, according to our model.

 

Real Sociedad vs. Valencia odds

We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Real Sociedad Valencia Draw
+120 +250 +250

Total Goals

Over 2.5 Under 2.5
-125 -110

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Real Sociedad vs. Valencia picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Moneyline Valencia +250
Total Goals Under 2.5 -110

According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Valencia to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Real Sociedad vs. Valencia: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score Probability
SOC 1-1 VAL 12.2%
SOC 1-0 VAL 10.6%
SOC 2-1 VAL 9.1%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 53.1% chance of both sides finding the net and a 46.9% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Real Sociedad vs. Valencia game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's La Liga game between Real Sociedad and Valencia at Anoeta is scheduled to start in the United States at 1:00 PM ET.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Real Sociedad has a 45.2% win probability on Sunday, Valencia has a 29.2% win probability, and there is a 25.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.

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