Predictions and picks for Nets @ Raptors

The Bubble Nets come up against the defending champs in a first round matchup that most can only see going one way, a 4-0 sweep in the favor of the team from above the border.

The Raptors (+1200 for the chip) went 3-1 against the Nets (+25000) throughout the regular season, and will be confident of getting to at least that mark by game four in the playoffs.

Our computer is extremely confident in the Raptors today, with our projected final score being 107 - 116 to Toronto.

Dimers' Suggested Plays

Lock: Nets +9.5 (-106*)
Moneyline: Raptors (-480*)
Total score: Over 221.5 (-110*)

Lock

Spread: Nets +9.5 (-106*) has a 54% probability

This may come as a surprise considering how strong our model is on the Raps winning, but the +9.5 on offer for the Nets is simply too much for game one. They’ve covered the spread in 6/8 games since the restart and our projections have them doing it again.

Moneyline: Raptors (-480*) has a 78% probability

Not the most enticing odds on offer here but with our numbers giving the Raps a 78% chance, it’s not hard to see why.

If you’re looking for some plus money, our data suggests the Nets should be lower odds than the +410* on offer, meaning they could be worth a cheeky play. 

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Total score: Over 221.5 (-110*) has a 51% probability

Our model has this one getting to 223 points, making the over the best play here.

Dimers' take-out

The Raptors have genuine aspirations of going back-to-back and will be looking to build their form as the playoffs go on. We have them taking the W, but don’t count out the Nets to at least cover.

Our picks for the rest of today's NBA slate.

*Odds and percentages correct at time of publishing.