Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets prediction: Denver favored to win Sunday's NBA matchup [3/22/2026]

NBA action continues on Sunday at 5:00 PM ET as the Portland Trail Blazers square off with the Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena.

Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Nuggets as the most likely winner of the Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Nuggets lineup will feature players like Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon, while the Trail Blazers will be led by Deni Avdija, Jrue Holiday and Scoot Henderson.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Blazers vs. Nuggets prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NBA game between the Trail Blazers and Nuggets 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Nuggets a 74% chance of defeating the Trail Blazers. Our predicted final score has the Nuggets winning 122-114.

According to our model, the Trail Blazers (+8) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 237.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.

Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Trail Blazers	Nuggets
Spread	+8 (-106)	-8 (-110)
Moneyline	+295	-340
Total	o237.5 (-110)	u237.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Trail Blazers +8	-106
Moneyline	Trail Blazers	+295
Total	Under 237.5	-105

According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Trail Blazers to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets player props

Looking for Portland vs. Denver NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Ball Arena.

Deni Avdija is expected to lead the Trail Blazers with 27 points, 7 rebounds and 8 assists, while Nikola Jokic is projected to have 30 points, 13 rebounds and 11 assists for the Nuggets.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Trail Blazers prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Trail Blazers are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Deni Avdija	27	7	8	2	54
Jrue Holiday	16	5	6	2	37
Scoot Henderson	15	3	5	2	30
Toumani Camara	13	5	3	3	29
Donovan Clingan	13	11	2	2	36

Nuggets prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Nuggets:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Nikola Jokic	30	13	11	2	71
Jamal Murray	25	5	7	3	47
Aaron Gordon	15	5	3	2	30
Peyton Watson	12	4	2	1	25
Tim Hardaway	12	3	1	2	19

Blazers vs. Nuggets game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's action between the Nuggets and Trail Blazers at Ball Arena is scheduled to begin at 5:00 PM ET.

• Who: Portland Trail Blazers vs. Denver Nuggets
• Date: Sunday, March 22, 2026
• Time: 5:00 PM ET/2:00PM PT
• Venue: Ball Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Nuggets, with a 74% win probability, will likely beat the Trail Blazers on Sunday, with Nikola Jokic projected for a game-high 71 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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