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Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets prediction: Denver favored to win Sunday's NBA matchup [3/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets predictions for NBA Sunday.
The Denver Nuggets will square off with the Portland Trail Blazers in NBA action at Ball Arena on Sunday, beginning at 5:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Nuggets as the most likely winner of the Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Nuggets lineup will feature stars like Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon, while the Trail Blazers will look to Deni Avdija, Jerami Grant and Jrue Holiday.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Blazers vs. Nuggets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NBA matchup between the Trail Blazers and Nuggets 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Nuggets a 77% chance of defeating the Trail Blazers. Our predicted final score has the Nuggets winning 123-115.
According to our model, the Trail Blazers (+8.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 239.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Trail Blazers | Nuggets |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +8.5 (-110) | -8.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | +290 | -350 |
| Total | o239.5 (-110) | u239.5 (-106) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Trail Blazers +8.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Nuggets | -350 |
| Total | Under 239.5 | -106 |
According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Under 239.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets player props
NBA prop bets are a popular way to wager on Sunday's Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Ball Arena.
Deni Avdija is expected to lead the Trail Blazers with 26 points, 7 rebounds and 8 assists, while Nikola Jokic is projected to have 30 points, 13 rebounds and 11 assists for the Nuggets.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Trail Blazers prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Trail Blazers are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija | 26 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 52 |
| Jerami Grant | 19 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 32 |
| Jrue Holiday | 16 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 36 |
| Donovan Clingan | 13 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 37 |
| Scoot Henderson | 13 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 26 |
Nuggets prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Nuggets:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | 30 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 71 |
| Jamal Murray | 25 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 47 |
| Aaron Gordon | 15 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 30 |
| Peyton Watson | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 25 |
| Tim Hardaway | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19 |
Blazers vs. Nuggets game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's game between the Nuggets and Trail Blazers at Ball Arena is scheduled to begin at 5:00 PM ET.
- Who: Portland Trail Blazers vs. Denver Nuggets
- Date: Sunday, March 22, 2026
- Time: 5:00 PM ET/2:00PM PT
- Venue: Ball Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Nuggets, with a 77% win probability, will likely beat the Trail Blazers on Sunday, with Nikola Jokic projected for a game-high 71 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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