Steelers vs. Colts Prediction: Pittsburgh Predicted to Win Following Latest Data Analysis for NFL Week 4 [2024]

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Written by Dave Garofolo
Pittsburgh Steelers-Indianapolis Colts Predictions and Game Preview.
Lucas Oil Stadium sets the stage for the NFL matchup between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Indianapolis Colts this Sunday.

The Indianapolis Colts will face the Pittsburgh Steelers in NFL Week 4 action at Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 1:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Steelers as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Steelers-Colts game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Steelers with a win probability of 58%, while the Colts have 42%."

Steelers vs. Colts Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 4 game between the Colts and Steelers at Lucas Oil Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of this week's Steelers vs. Colts matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Colts vs. Steelers picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

READER EXCLUSIVE: Sign up with code 20FOOTBALL at checkout right now to receive 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! This offer won't last forever.

Steelers vs. Colts Predictions

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Steelers and Colts 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Steelers a 58% chance of defeating the Colts in Week 4 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Steelers winning 21-19.

According to our model, the Colts (+2.5) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the 40.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of going over.

 

In addition to our Steelers vs. Colts predictions, we've also got the following locked and loaded for today’s action:

Steelers vs. Colts Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Steelers Colts
Spread -2.5 (-112) +2.5 (+100)
Moneyline -142 +124
Total o40.5 (-122) u40.5 (+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Steelers vs. Colts Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Steelers vs. Colts matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Steelers vs. Colts TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Steelers vs. Colts?

According to our model, Pittsburgh's Najee Harris is most likely to score the first TD in Steelers vs. Colts.

Our projections give Harris a 12.7% chance of scoring the first TD at Lucas Oil Stadium, while the Steelers RB is a 46.8% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Pittsburgh Steelers

Player First TD Probability
Najee Harris 12.7%
Justin Fields 10.6%
George Pickens 10.1%

Indianapolis Colts

Player First TD Probability
Jonathan Taylor 12.6%
Anthony Richardson 10.9%
Michael Pittman 4.4%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Pittsburgh Steelers

Player Anytime TD Probability
Najee Harris 46.8%
Justin Fields 40.2%
George Pickens 38.0%

Indianapolis Colts

Player Anytime TD Probability
Jonathan Taylor 47.9%
Anthony Richardson 41.9%
Michael Pittman 19.4%

For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 4 touchdown scorer predictions

Steelers vs Colts Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Steelers and Colts. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Steelers-Colts page now to access every player prop projection.

Steelers vs. Colts Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Steelers' Justin Fields is projected to throw for more yards than the Colts' Anthony Richardson.

Steelers Rushing

Najee Harris, Justin Fields and Cordarrelle Patterson are projected to be the leading rushers for the Steelers.

Player Position
Najee Harris RB
Justin Fields QB
Cordarrelle Patterson RB

Colts Rushing

Jonathan Taylor, Anthony Richardson and Trey Sermon are expected to lead the Colts in rushing yards.

Player Position
Jonathan Taylor RB
Anthony Richardson QB
Trey Sermon RB

Steelers Receiving

George Pickens, Pat Freiermuth, Van Jefferson, Calvin Austin and Roman Wilson are projected to top the receiving yards for the Steelers.

Player Position
George Pickens WR
Pat Freiermuth TE
Van Jefferson WR
Calvin Austin WR
Roman Wilson WR

Colts Receiving

Michael Pittman, Josh Downs, Alec Pierce, Adonai Mitchell and Jonathan Taylor are projected to lead the Colts in receiving yards.

Player Position
Michael Pittman WR
Josh Downs WR
Alec Pierce WR
Adonai Mitchell WR
Jonathan Taylor RB

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Conclusion

We predict the Steelers, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Colts in Week 4 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Steelers vs. Colts insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Keep up with the latest NFL betting news and our data-led NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the latest probabilities for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for the NFL and MLB, crafts insightful game previews and betting props for the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM and PGA TOUR tournaments.

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