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Pirates @ Brewers: Predictions, picks & bets

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua
Pirates @ Brewers: Predictions, picks & bets

It’s never dull when the Milwaukee Brewers and Pittsburgh Pirates meet.

The two teams clash for the third time this weekend on Sunday, with Milwaukee claiming a dramatic walk-off victory last night go up in the series 2-0. They have a chance to make it a clean sweep today.

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Dimers' Suggested Plays
BEST: o8.5 runs (-115*)
Moneyline: Pirates  (+210*)
Run line: Pirates +1.5 (+100*)
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BEST
Over/Under: o8.5 runs (-115*) has a 54% chance of going over

As we correctly pointed out yesterday, when these two teams collide, it means runs, runs and more runs. Yesterday’s game was no exception with some late drama resulting in both teams combining for 13 runs. Tomorrow’s listed starting pitchers do nothing to suggest that offense won’t continue to win out here. Take the over.

Moneyline
Pirates H2H (+210*) has a 2.9% edge on the sportsbooks

Boy, were the Pirates close to causing an upset last night. The Brewers had to rally home with two runs in the bottom of the ninth to win against the Pirates who are now 9-21. The season has not gone to script for Pittsburgh so far, but they seem to match up extremely well against this Milwaukee team. Our predictive analysis suggests that the +210 on offer for the Pirates is too good to refuse. Take for a small wager.

Run line
Pirates +1.5 (+100*) has a 51% chance of covering the run line

It goes without saying that if we like Pittsburgh at the money line, then we LOVE them at the run line. When the sportsbooks are giving us a chance to double our money with a $100 bet, we’re going to gobble that up. Place a 3-sport parlay with William Hill and get a 20% cash credit on your Qualifying Wager. Learn more.

Dimers' take-out

The Pirates have been much more entertaining than their 9-21 record suggests, mainly because their defense has been lacking. Nevertheless, we’ll gladly cash in on the over once again, and we won’t be ruling out a chance at an upset victory for Pittsburgh. Check out legal sportsbooks in your area here.

 

*odds are correct at time of publishing

 

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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