Pirates @ Brewers: Predictions, picks and bets

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua
Pirates @ Brewers: Predictions, picks and bets

The Pirates and Brewers continue their weekend series today, and it looks like Milwaukee may have finally figured out how to beat Pittsburgh.

The lowly 9-20 Pirates swept the three-game series these two teams played out last weekend, but last night’s 9-1 win indicates Milwaukee may have made the necessary adjustments to make up for last week’s shocker. If you're in Pennsylvania, get up to $250 Bonus Match on your First Deposit with BetRivers. Use code 250MATCH.

 

Can they keep it rolling?

 


Dimers' Suggested Plays
🔥BEST: o9 runs (-105*)
💵Moneyline: Pirates (+165*)
🏃Run line: Pirates +1.5 (-121*)
🚨 Best online sportsbooks here

 

BEST
Over/Under: o9 runs (-105*) has a 52% chance of going over

Reading the form lines here, and runs have been consistently flowing with these two in the four previous meetings over the past week. None of the four games have finished under with an average total of 13.5 runs per contest. Our model likes that wriggle room! Bet the over.

 

Moneyline
Pirates (+165*) has a 2.4% edge on the sportsbooks

Yesterday’s 9-1 win by Milwaukee was obviously quite impressive, but let’s not forget, this Pirates team beat the Brewers three times last week. We believe that the Pirates will pull off at least one game from this series, and we see the odds today being too good to pass up with a slight edge against the sportsbooks. Like your parlays? BOOST it with the PointsBet Parlay Booster on all sports, all season. Conditions apply.

Run line
Pirates +1.5 (-121*) has a 56% chance of covering the run line

Milwaukee will start this one as favorites due to their superior overall record, but we think that’s naïve given what happened last week. For some extra security, take the Pirates to cover the run line.

Dimers' take-out

It’s going be a fascinating series given the recent history. We’re excited to see how it plays out, but we think there is some real value for bettors today by committing to Pittsburgh.

 

*odds are correct at time of publishing

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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