Loading...

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: Model Strongly Predicts Phillies to Cover the Run Line After New Data Released for Sunday's MLB Game [6/16/2024]

profile-img
Written by Jason Bevilacqua
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: Model Strongly Predicts Phillies to Cover the Run Line After New Data Released for Sunday's MLB Game [6/16/2024]

The Baltimore Orioles will face the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Sunday, beginning at 1:35PM ET.

The Orioles will start Corbin Burnes (7-2, 2.08 ERA), pitting him against Zack Wheeler (8-3, 2.16 ERA) for the Phillies.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers.com’s predictive MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) has selected the Baltimore Orioles as the most likely winner of the game.

“We have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Phillies-Orioles game 10,000 times using the latest data,” said Dimers.com data analyst Greg Butyn. “By integrating all recent updates and numerous additional factors, our prediction gives the Orioles a 56% chance of victory, while the Phillies stand at 44%.”

Phillies vs. Orioles Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's MLB action between the Orioles and Phillies at Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled to commence at 1:35PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Phillies vs. Orioles matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any the Orioles vs. Phillies picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Access 201 bets, including a 14% edge
Get Dimers Pro

Phillies vs. Orioles Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line

We have used trusted machine learning and statistics to simulate the outcome of Sunday's MLB game between the Phillies and Orioles 10,000 times, in keeping with our coverage of MLB picks.

Our famous predictive analytics model currently gives the Orioles a 56% chance of beating the Phillies.

According to our model, the Phillies (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7 runs has a 52% chance of going over.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 5:27PM, Jun 16
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Phillies
Win %
44%
56%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Orioles
Phillies PHI
Win %
44%
56%
See Matchup
Orioles BAL
Zack Wheeler 8-3, 2.16 ERA
Corbin Burnes 7-2, 2.08 ERA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Phillies vs. Orioles Odds [6/16/2024]

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Phillies Orioles
Run Line +1.5 (-184) -1.5 (+160)
Moneyline +116 -135
Total o7 (-112) u7 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Phillies vs. Orioles Picks

The strongest edge our model has found in this Phillies vs. Orioles matchup is on the run line. Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal MLB best bets in each major market, every day of the season.

Full access to our picks is available via Dimers Pro.

Access 167 MLB bets, including a 14% edge
Get Dimers Pro
Plus, gain access to all of today's bets, expert analysis, real-time updates, and exclusive insights, including unlimited best bets, props, trends, and customizable parlays.

Calling Our Shot: Free MLB Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the best bets featured below.

Conclusion

We predict the Orioles, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Phillies on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Phillies vs. Orioles insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.

More on MLB

Stay updated with the latest MLB betting news and our data-led MLB picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our World Series odds give you the most up-to-date projections and the best available odds on the World Series, American League, National League, and each division.

profile-img
Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

Advertiser disclosure

Related Articles

More Articles
Pirates vs. Royals Prediction: Kansas City Predicted to Win Tuesday's MLB Matchup [7/8/2025]
Read Article
Blue Jays vs. White Sox Prediction: Toronto Predicted to Win Tuesday's MLB Matchup [7/8/2025]
Read Article
Cubs vs. Twins Prediction: Cubs Predicted to Win Tuesday's MLB Matchup [7/8/2025]
Read Article

Best Sportsbook Promotions

Why Join Multiple Sportsbooks?
logo Swipe across to view more offers
logo
Exclusive
$1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if you Don't Win!
T&C's apply.
How to claim
logo
MOST POPULAR
Sign up With Code DIMERS to Unlock $150 in Bonus Bets When you Bet $5! Win or Lose!
T&C's apply.
How to claim
logo
HOTTEST
Bet $10 Get $100 in Bonus Bets
T&C's apply.
How to claim
logo
MOST POPULAR
Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets INSTANTLY!
T&C's apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW PLAYERS
Bet $5 Get $150 in Bonus Bets If Your Bet Wins!
T&C's apply.
How to claim
logo
TRENDING
New Customers Play FREE For Your Share Of Millions
T&C's apply.
How to claim