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76ers vs. Rockets prediction: Houston to win, Kevin Durant projected for big game in Thursday's NBA matchup [4/9/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Philadelphia 76ers vs Houston Rockets predictions for NBA Thursday.
The Houston Rockets will take on the Philadelphia 76ers in NBA action at Toyota Center on Thursday, commencing at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Rockets as the most likely winner of the 76ers vs. Rockets game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Rockets lineup will feature stars like Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson and Alperen Sengun, while the 76ers will look to Tyrese Maxey, Paul George and VJ Edgecombe.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Sixers vs. Sixers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NBA matchup between the 76ers and Rockets, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Rockets a 69% chance of beating the 76ers. Our predicted final score has the Rockets winning 116-110.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the 76ers and Rockets each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 226.5-point over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
76ers vs. Rockets odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | 76ers | Rockets |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +5.5 (-110) | -5.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | +180 | -210 |
| Total | o226.5 (-110) | u226.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
76ers vs. Rockets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Rockets -5.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Rockets | -210 |
| Total | Under 226.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Thursday, the top play to make on this game is Rockets to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
76ers vs. Rockets player props
NBA prop bets are an enjoyable way to wager on the 76ers vs. Rockets game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Toyota Center.
Tyrese Maxey is expected to lead the 76ers with 24 points, 4 rebounds and 7 assists, while Kevin Durant is projected to have 27 points, 6 rebounds and 6 assists for the Rockets.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
76ers prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the 76ers are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Maxey | 24 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 47 |
| Paul George | 19 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 39 |
| VJ Edgecombe | 15 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 34 |
| Kelly Oubre | 14 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 26 |
| Dominick Barlow | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 |
Rockets prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Rockets:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant | 27 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 49 |
| Amen Thompson | 19 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 44 |
| Alperen Sengun | 19 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 44 |
| Jabari Smith | 15 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 32 |
| Reed Sheppard | 13 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 29 |
Sixers vs. Rockets game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's action between the Rockets and 76ers at Toyota Center is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Philadelphia 76ers vs. Houston Rockets
- Date: Thursday, April 9, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Toyota Center
Conclusion
We predict the Rockets, with a 69% win probability, will likely beat the 76ers in Thursday's NBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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