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PGA Golf Best Bets: The Memorial Tournament Winner Picks and Predictions

PGA Golf Best Bets: The Memorial Tournament Winner Picks and Predictions

Time for some golf betting!

It's the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday on the schedule this week as we head to Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, OH. The big names are back and gearing up for the U.S. Open next week.

Our predictive analytics model has run 1000s of simulations for the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday, identifying value bets in the winner and placement markets. As mentioned, we're heading to Muirfield Village for this signature event with a $20 million purse up for grabs.


Betting Golf with Dimers Pro

For a limited time, you can score three months of Dimers Pro on us after signing up and placing your first wager at BetMGM! 

Dimers Pro gives you access to everything Dimers has to offer right now and in the future, including our full list of today’s best bets and our cutting-edge Parlay Picker.

We've partnered with BetMGM Sportsbook to give all users 3 months of complementary Dimers Pro access when you sign up at the sportsbook.

Dimers Pro gives you access to everything Dimers has to offer right now and in the future, including our full list of today’s best bets and our cutting-edge Parlay Picker.

Learn more about this exclusive, limited time offer here.

The Memorial Tournament Golf Betting Preview

Our best bets are here to help with outright winner plays, as well as recommended Top-5, Top-10 and Top-20 picks.

Also, make sure you visit Dimers all golf season long, where we'll be feeding you our trusted PGA best bets on a weekly basis. These PGA predictions are sourced from our powerful predictive analytics model that pulled off some big wins in 2023 and has already returned an 80-1 winner with Wyndham Clark in 2024 and correctly predicted Scottie Scheffler's comeback at the RBC Heritage while he was +1000 to win.

Who Will Win the Memorial Tournament?

Here are the five most likely winners of this week's the Memorial Tournament the result of simulating the tournament 10,000 times via our A.I. models. 

GOLFER
WIN
TOP 5
TOP 10
Scottie Scheffler21.4%
54.2%
70.1%
Xander Schauffele14.0%
41.4%
58.1%
Rory McIlroy
9.1%
31.5%
48.8%
Collin Morikawa4.4%
19.1%
33.2%
Viktor Hovland2.9%
16.6%
30.8%

For access to every probability and projection beyond the Top 5 in each category, hit the Dimers Pro button below:


Dimers' Top-Ranked Golfers at the the Memorial Tournament

GOLFER
Dimers Rank
OWGR
Scottie Scheffler
#1
#1
Xander Schauffele
#2
#2
Rory McIlroy
#3#3
Collin Morikawa
#4
#8
Viktor Hovland
#6
#5

MORE: Dimer Pro's In-House Golf Rankings

The Memorial Tournament Best Bets

Xander Schauffele to Win (+900 on BetMGM)

Our second most-likely winner of the tournament, Xander Schauffele, gets a significant edge in his odds to upset Scottie Scheffler and bet the rest of the approximately 70-man field.

Having taken a break since clinching his first major title at the PGA Championship two weeks ago, Schauffele has flirted with wins more than nearly anyone else on TOUR - he has nine Top 10 finishes this year. He's yet to secure one at the Memorial, despite achieving five consecutive top 25 finishes there.

This week, our model projects Schauffele with a 14.0% probability to win, presenting us with a 4% edge against his odds of +900 (imply 10%). With our fair price much closer to +600, you can see the clear value.

 

Russell Henley to Win (+5000 on FanDuel)

A big favorite of the bot due to his often long odds, Henley is repeatedly disrespected by the books. He's 19th in total FedExCup Points, ranked 16th in the world and has four Top 10s this year, with three of those a T4 or solo 4th. 

He enters this tournament on a streak of T12, T10 and T23 and taking last week's event off. He's improved with every big tournament - cut at THE PLAYERS, T38 at Augusta and T23 at the PGA Championship.

Henley draws just a 2.4% probability to win, but that means he should be at +4000, while you can get him for +5000 right now. At a $10 bet, that's a $100 difference in profit. At +800 for a Top 5 and +320 for a Top 10, he's worth a look in placements as well, though his value dries up after the Top 10.

 

Christiaan Bezuidenhout Top 20 (+240 on DraftKings)

A placement pick with some sweet value, South African golfer Christiaan Bezuidenhout is worth a throughout the placement markets, though we're focusing on his Top 20 here. Bezuidenhout gets a 33.3% probability to finish Top 20, which implies fair betting odds of +200. However, we can get him at +240 on DraftKings (implies 29.4%). That's just about a  4% edge.

For extra context, Bezuidenhout sits at 23rd in our overall projections and there's not one golfer with odds close to this above him for a Top 20 finish. Below him, you have to scroll down to the fringe of the Top 40 to find the next golfer with odds at this range or longer.

In his last seven events, he's secured better than a T20 in four of them, including a T9. He had just one such finish in his previous seven events to open the season, so he's in his best form of the year.

 

These aren't the only value plays on the board, but our selected ones based on our model's recommendations. With Dimers Pro, you can check out our full predictions for the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday to find your favorite plays, with plenty more edges to be found!

Build Round Robins, Top 20 parlays and get round-by-round updates each day with Dimers Pro.


Dimers' Expert Golf Picks and Predictions

As well as being your best source for PGA golf predictions, Dimers also has the latest golf news, golf predictions for every game, weekly golf rankings, and golf matchup H2H tool.

Can I bet on golf with Dimers?

No. There’s no golf bet slip on our site because we don’t take any golf bets ourselves. We’re the friend who gives you the best golf picks and predictions then tells you where and how to get the best golf sign up offers at the sportsbooks, so you can throw your golf bets down. That’s it!

When you click on one of our buttons or links in our golf content, you’re whisked away to DraftKings, BetMGM, FanDuel, or one of the many other sportsbooks we work with.

Once you get there, you can join up to score a welcome bonus (up to $200!), and then get those golf bets down for yourself, but you’re betting on the golf with them, not us. Since you are never betting anything directly with us, we don’t have access to your personal information or sensitive financial info like credit card numbers.

It also means that despite our best efforts to confirm that a sports betting site still has that awesome golf sign up offer available, the best ones often disappear just as quickly as they appeared. We always take these offers down once we know they’re no longer available. We take our responsibility to provide up to date golf information very seriously.

Finally, Responsible Gambling is extremely important to us, so please remember that golf betting should be seen as a form of entertainment - adding to your enjoyment while watching from the course of the couch - not a side hustle or second income stream.

If Dimers doesn't take golf bets, then how do you make money?

Whenever you join a sportsbook mentioned in our golf picks and predictions across the website, or use one of our promo codes, we get a small commission for referring you. Don’t worry, though, this doesn’t affect you in any way at all. That’s a fee the sportsbook pays us as a thank-you for sending another golf bettor their way.

We’re always happy to help our readers troubleshoot any problems. Start with our About Us or Contact Us and if that doesn’t work for you, then you can always send us an email at contact@dimers.com. We’ll do our best to help you figure it out.

Dimers and golf betting

  • Dimers, and online sports betting, are not scams – golf betting has been legal since May 2018.
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  • We get a commission if you join a sportsbook through our golf content, buttons or links.
  • We’re always happy to help you troubleshoot any issues. Just ask!

Dimers and Responsible Gambling

Remember to please gamble responsibly. If you sense that you're taking your luck too far, know when to call it quits and don't be afraid to seek assistance. Keep in mind that gambling is all about having a fantastic experience! If you or someone you know is grappling with gambling issues, reach out to 1-800-GAMBLER for crisis counseling and support.

Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for MLB and NFL, uses his deep knowledge to craft game previews for the NBA, MLB, and NFL. He also brings his expertise to the golf world with tournament previews and parlays for the PGA TOUR and major golf tournaments. Additionally, Dave offers valuable props for NBA, MLB, NHL, and NCAAM basketball, along with best bets for MLB, NHL, and NCAAM. 

When not delving into the world of sports, Dave is an avid advocate for New Haven pizza, enjoys reading comic books, gardening, and spending time with his cats. His broad interests and detailed sports insights ensure that his contributions are both engaging and informative.

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