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Magic vs. Pelicans prediction: Orlando favored to win Sunday's NBA matchup [4/5/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Orlando Magic vs New Orleans Pelicans predictions for NBA Sunday.
The New Orleans Pelicans will face the Orlando Magic in NBA action at Smoothie King Center on Sunday, commencing at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Magic as the most likely winner of the Magic vs. Pelicans game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Pelicans lineup will feature stars like Trey Murphy, Zion Williamson and Saddiq Bey, while the Magic will rely on Paolo Banchero, Desmond Bane and Jalen Suggs.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Magic vs. Pelicans prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NBA matchup between the Magic and Pelicans, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Magic a 63% chance of beating the Pelicans. Our predicted final score has the Magic winning 119-115.
According to our model, the Pelicans (+4.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 236.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.
Magic vs. Pelicans odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Magic | Pelicans |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -4.5 (-110) | +4.5 (-106) |
| Moneyline | -190 | +165 |
| Total | o236.5 (-112) | u236.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Magic vs. Pelicans picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Pelicans +4.5 | -106 |
| Moneyline | Pelicans | +165 |
| Total | Under 236.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Under 236.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Magic vs. Pelicans player props
NBA prop bets are an enjoyable way to wager on Sunday's Magic vs. Pelicans matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Smoothie King Center.
Paolo Banchero is expected to lead the Magic with 22 points, 8 rebounds and 6 assists, while Trey Murphy is projected to have 25 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists for the Pelicans.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Magic prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Magic are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero | 22 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 46 |
| Desmond Bane | 21 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 39 |
| Jalen Suggs | 15 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 39 |
| Franz Wagner | 15 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 28 |
| Wendell Carter | 13 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 30 |
Pelicans prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Pelicans:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy | 25 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 46 |
| Zion Williamson | 21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 36 |
| Saddiq Bey | 20 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 36 |
| Dejounte Murray | 16 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 38 |
| Jeremiah Fears | 13 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 29 |
Magic vs. Pelicans game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's action between the Pelicans and Magic at Smoothie King Center is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Orlando Magic vs. New Orleans Pelicans
- Date: Sunday, April 5, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Smoothie King Center
Conclusion
We predict the Magic, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Pelicans on Sunday, with Trey Murphy projected for a game-high 46 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Magic vs. Pelicans insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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