Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Picks for NBA Saturday [12/16/2023]

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Picks for NBA Saturday [12/16/2023]

The Denver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder will lock horns in NBA action at Ball Arena on Saturday, with tipoff at 9:00PM ET.

Dimers' full betting preview for Saturday's Thunder vs. Nuggets matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

Thunder vs. Nuggets Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread

Based on advanced computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Thunder-Nuggets NBA matchup 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions for tonight.

Dimers' independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Nuggets a 65% chance of getting the W against the Thunder, with our predicted final score seeing the Nuggets winning 120-116.

According to our model, the Thunder (+4.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 237.5-point Over/Under has a 52% chance of going Under.

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Thunder vs. Nuggets Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Thunder Nuggets
Spread +4.5 (-105) -4.5 (-115)
Moneyline +180 -200
Total o237.5 (-110) u237.5 (-110)
  • The Nuggets are -4.5 favorites versus the Thunder, with -115 at BetMGM Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
  • For the underdog Thunder (+4.5) to cover the spread, BetMGM also has the best odds currently on offer at -105.
  • BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Nuggets at -200, which means you can risk $200 to win $100, for a total payout of $300, if they get the W.
  • Elsewhere, FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Thunder at +180, where you can bet $100 to profit $180, earning a total payout of $280, if they win.
  • The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 237.5 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, as well as the best odds for the Under at -110.

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

As always, check out all the online sports betting sites that are available in your state for the best NBA odds and lines.

Thunder vs. Nuggets Picks

By comparing our probabilities to the odds listed above, we have determined the best betting picks for this game:

Bet Type Our Pick Best Odds
Spread Thunder +4.5 -105
Moneyline Thunder +180
Total Under 237.5 -110


While the Nuggets are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Thunder moneyline is the best option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published on Dimers is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.

Dimers' NBA best bets are based on detailed modeling and betting intelligence to bring you the best possible plays every time.

Thunder vs. Nuggets Player Props

NBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on Thunder vs. Nuggets without necessarily betting on the outcome of Saturday's game itself.

We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Ball Arena.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is expected to lead the Thunder with 34 points, 5 rebounds and 7 assists, while Nikola Jokic is projected to finish with 27 points, 14 rebounds and 10 assists for the Nuggets.

Thunder Prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Thunder in Saturday's game:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 34 5 7 1
Chet Holmgren 18 8 3 1
Jalen Williams 18 5 4 1
Josh Giddey 13 6 5 1
Luguentz Dort 11 4 1 1

Nuggets Prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers for the Nuggets on Saturday:

Nikola Jokic 27 14 10 1
Jamal Murray 20 4 6 3
Michael Porter 15 8 1 3
Aaron Gordon 13 6 3 1
Reggie Jackson 10 2 4 2

For more help with your NBA prop betting, check out the best NBA betting trends for today's games.

Don't forget, our model updates regularly, so check this article for any changes to our betting analysis ahead of Thunder vs. Nuggets on Saturday December 16, 2023.

Thunder vs. Nuggets Game Information

Saturday's matchup between the Nuggets and Thunder at Ball Arena is scheduled to begin at 9:00PM ET.

Click or tap on See Matchup for full coverage of Thunder vs. Nuggets, including pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.


How to Bet on Thunder vs. Nuggets

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This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on the Saturday's Thunder vs. Nuggets contest, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

Dimers' predictions are made after 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While these Thunder vs. Nuggets predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that leads to a third-party website that we have a commercial arrangement with (such as a sportsbook), we may earn a referral fee.

More on NBA

Stay well-informed on the most recent NBA betting news and our analytics-driven NBA picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our NBA championship odds give you the most up-to-date probabilities and the best available odds on the NBA championship, as well as the Eastern and Western conferences.

Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen has a track record of delivering high-quality content. He writes about all sports, but his favorites are the NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL. Kevin enjoys crunching the numbers and using data-driven insights to take on the sportsbooks. The majority of Kevin's time is spent writing about sports betting. His love for data and analytics drove him into the world of sports betting. Finding an edge in sports betting can take a long time, but Kevin believes it is well worth the effort. Kevin is just as passionate about sports as you are, and he empowers fellow bettors to become more educated through simple, actionable betting tips. It can be difficult to navigate the world of sports betting, which is where Kevin comes in to make it as simple as possible for you to pick a winner.

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