Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets Prediction, Odds, NBA Picks [12/29/2023]

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets Prediction, Odds, NBA Picks  [12/29/2023]

The Denver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder are scheduled to meet in NBA action at Ball Arena on Friday, with tipoff at 9:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's full betting preview for Friday's Thunder vs. Nuggets matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

Thunder vs. Nuggets Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread

We have used innovative machine learning and statistical analysis to simulate the result of Friday's NBA matchup between the Thunder and Nuggets 10,000 times, in line with our coverage of NBA predictions.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Nuggets a 63% chance of beating the Thunder, and our predicted final score has the Nuggets winning 116-112.

According to our model, the Nuggets (-3.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 231.5 points has a 54% chance of going under.

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Thunder vs. Nuggets Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Thunder Nuggets
Spread +3.5 (-110) -3.5 (-110)
Moneyline +130 -146
Total o231.5 (-110) u231.5 (-110)
  • The Nuggets are -3.5 favorites against the Thunder, with -110 at BetMGM Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
  • For the underdog Thunder (+3.5) to cover the spread, BetMGM also has the best odds currently on offer at -110.
  • FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Nuggets at -146. That means you can risk $146 to win $100 for a total payout of $246 if they get the W.
  • Elsewhere, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Thunder at +130, where you can bet $100 to profit $130, earning a total payout of $230 if they win.
  • The Over/Under sits at 231.5 with FanDuel, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, as well as the best odds for the Under at -110.

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

As always, check out all the legal sports betting sites available in your state for the best NBA odds and lines.

Thunder vs. Nuggets Picks

By comparing our probabilities to the odds listed above, we have identified the best betting picks to place on this game:

Bet Type Our Pick Best Odds
Spread Nuggets -3.5 -110
Moneyline Nuggets -146
Total Under 231.5 -110


Our NBA best bets are based on complex modeling and wagering expertise to serve you the best possible plays every time.

Thunder vs. Nuggets Player Props

NBA prop bets are a common way to wager on Friday's Thunder vs. Nuggets matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome.

We uss the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Ball Arena.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is expected to step up for the Thunder with 31 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists, while Nikola Jokic is projected to finish with 29 points, 14 rebounds and 11 assists for the Nuggets.

Thunder Prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Thunder:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 31 5 6 1
Chet Holmgren 19 7 3 1
Jalen Williams 17 4 4 1
Josh Giddey 12 6 5 1
Luguentz Dort 11 4 2 2

Nuggets Prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers for the Nuggets:

Nikola Jokic 29 14 11 1
Jamal Murray 22 5 7 4
Michael Porter 16 9 2 3
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 11 2 3 2
Reggie Jackson 8 1 3 1

For more help with your NBA prop betting, check out the best NBA trends for today's games.

Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting insights ahead of the Thunder vs. Nuggets on Friday December 29, 2023.

Thunder vs. Nuggets Game Information

Friday's matchup between the Nuggets and Thunder at Ball Arena is scheduled to commence at 9:00PM ET.


Our full coverage of Thunder vs. Nuggets includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.

How to Bet on Thunder vs. Nuggets

Looking to join an online sportsbook and start betting on the NBA now? Check out the best sportsbook NBA sign-up offers in your state.

Calling Our Shot 🏀 Free Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily NBA betting content, including the predictions featured below.


This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on Friday's Thunder vs. Nuggets game, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

Dimers' picks and predictions are made after 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While these Thunder vs. Nuggets predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial arrangement with (such as a sportsbook), we may get a referral fee at no additional cost to you.

More on NBA

Stay well-informed with the most recent NBA betting news and our data-led NBA picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our NBA championship odds give you the latest predictions and the best available odds on the NBA title, as well as the Eastern and Western conferences.

Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen has a track record of delivering high-quality content. He writes about all sports, but his favorites are the NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL. Kevin enjoys crunching the numbers and using data-driven insights to take on the sportsbooks. The majority of Kevin's time is spent writing about sports betting. His love for data and analytics drove him into the world of sports betting. Finding an edge in sports betting can take a long time, but Kevin believes it is well worth the effort. Kevin is just as passionate about sports as you are, and he empowers fellow bettors to become more educated through simple, actionable betting tips. It can be difficult to navigate the world of sports betting, which is where Kevin comes in to make it as simple as possible for you to pick a winner.

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