Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Odds, NBA Picks [5/11/2024]

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Odds, NBA Picks [5/11/2024]

The Dallas Mavericks will square off with the Oklahoma City Thunder in the 2024 NBA Playoffs at American Airlines Center on Saturday, commencing at 3:30PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Saturday's Thunder vs. Mavericks matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

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Thunder vs. Mavericks Prediction: Who Will Win Game 3

We have used powerful machine learning and data analysis to simulate the result of Saturday's NBA Playoffs game between the Thunder and Mavericks 10,000 times, in line with our coverage of NBA picks.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Mavericks a 57% chance of beating the Thunder. Our predicted final score has the Mavericks winning 109-107.

According to our model, the Mavericks (-1.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 217.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of going under.

The NBA Playoffs is an annual elimination tournament held to decide the league's champion.

A total of 16 teams, including the Thunder and Mavericks, reached the NBA Playoffs 2024, which includes four rounds: the First Round, Conference Semifinals, Conference Finals, and NBA Finals.

Each round of the NBA Playoffs is played as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins progressing to the next round until a champion is crowned.

Thunder vs. Mavericks Game 3 Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Thunder Mavericks
Spread +1.5 (-108) -1.5 (-110)
Moneyline +110 -120
Total o217.5 (-108) u217.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Thunder vs. Mavericks Game 3 Picks

At Dimers, our predictions, coupled with the current odds, reveal the top betting picks for every game, including Thunder vs. Mavericks. Our best NBA bets for Saturday are based on expert modeling and analysis, as you can see.

With a betting edge of 2%, a pick from the Thunder vs. Mavericks game is featured in today's best bets on Dimers Pro.

Dimers Pro subscribers get hundreds of data-driven bets daily across thousands of games. Join now to get instant access and see the pick we have for this game, plus any potential props.


Thunder vs. Mavericks Game 3 Player Props

NBA prop bets are a great way to wager on Saturday's Thunder vs. Mavericks game without necessarily betting on the outcome.

We uss the best information available to project key individual stats for each team, such as points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is expected to lead the Thunder with 32 points, 7 rebounds and 7 assists, while Luka Doncic is projected to finish with 33 points, 10 rebounds and 11 assists for the Mavericks.

Thunder Prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Thunder:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 32 7 7 2
Jalen Williams 22 6 6 2
Chet Holmgren 20 9 3 2
Luguentz Dort 11 4 2 2
Josh Giddey 9 6 4 1

MORE: NBA First Basket Predictions for Saturday

Mavericks Prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers for the Mavericks:

Luka Doncic 33 10 11 5
Kyrie Irving 26 6 6 4
P.J. Washington 14 7 2 2
Daniel Gafford 12 8 2 0
Derrick Jones 10 4 1 1

For more help with your NBA prop betting, check out Saturday's NBA prop picks.

Thunder vs. Mavs Game 3 Information

Saturday's Game 3 between the Mavericks and Thunder in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to commence at 3:30PM ET.


Our full betting coverage of the Thunder vs. Mavericks includes pregame predictions, betting picks and live win probabilities.

Calling Our Shot: Free 🏀 Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily NBA betting content, including the predictions featured below.


We predict the Mavericks, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Thunder on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Thunder vs. Mavericks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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More on NBA

Stay informed with the latest NBA betting news and our data-led NBA picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our NBA championship odds give you the latest numbers and the best available odds on the NBA title, as well as the Eastern and Western conferences.

Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua has a deep-rooted passion for sports and has been actively involved in sports betting for many years. Specializing in the MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, Jason delivers engaging game previews across these leagues. His expertise is particularly evident in his best bets for MLB, NHL, and college basketball. Additionally, Jason contributes valuable MLB and NFL props, as well as NBA first basket plays. 

Since joining Dimers in 2020 as the Head of Social and Community, Jason has also made significant contributions to the editorial department, offering daily articles that are not only well-researched but also deeply insightful. His strategic approach and collaboration with DimersBOT ensure his betting advice is top-notch.

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