NFL Week 9: Best player prop bet for Ravens vs. Dolphins in Thursday Night Football

The Miami Dolphins host the Baltimore Ravens in a Week 9 Thursday Night Football clash at Hard Rock Stadium, offering an excellent slate of NFL props and player prop bets. Despite a recent offensive resurgence, the Dolphins are expected to fall to the Ravens, who are favored by 7 points in a predicted 28-21 scoreline

We are targeting a low-number NFL player prop that presents overwhelming value to continue our impressive streak, which includes wins on Jahmyr Gibbs (Receiving Yards), Kyler Murray (Rushing Yards), Jordan Love (Rushing Yards), and the single-play smash on Bills WR Josh Palmer.

Our top player prop bet tonight is on Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa. We're hoping an in-form and more confident Tua can cash this ticket early in the game too!

This NFL prop bet has been identified and rigorously cross-referenced to meet the criteria for our "Primetime Prop Bet."

Our process began with the Dimers NFL Trends page, which shows a significant historical success rate against tonight's seemingly low threshold. Looking at the data, Tagovailoa has exceeded this line in 5 of his last 6 appearances.

Next, we consulted the Dimers NFL Player Projections page, which confirmed the numerical edge on this Week 9 NFL prop. Tagovailoa is projected to finish a substantial margin over the player prop line set by the online betting sites - even with some movement, the line for this NFL prop appears very low.

Below, we've outlined Tua's statistics from the 2025 season which further demonstrate the high probability given to this Thursday Night Football prop bet!

Prop bet: Tua Tagovailoa over 2.5 rushing yards

During the first eight weeks of the 2025 NFL season, Miami Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa demonstrated a consistent floor for his rushing yards, clearing the over 2.5 line in five of his last six games. This string of minor but steady gains highlights his tendency to use his legs just enough to ensure this over 2.5 rushing yards prop bet (-115) is a bet with a strong statistical edge.

• Week 3 at Bills: 10 Rushing Yards (2 carries) ✅
• Week 4 vs. Jets: 6 Rushing Yards (3 carries) ✅
• Week 5 at Panthers: 5 Rushing Yards (1 carry ) ✅
• Week 6 vs. Chargers: 4 Rushing Yards (1 carry) ✅
• Week 7 at Browns: 6 Rushing Yards (3 carries) ✅
• Week 8 at Falcons: 0 Rushing Yards (0 carries)

ANALYSIS: Full betting preview for Ravens at Dolphins

Combining his strong historical trend, a compelling statistical projection that is significantly higher than the line, and the likely game script, the Tua Tagovailoa Over 2.5 Rushing Yards (-115) is the Prime Time Prop Bet to ride tonight.