NFL Week 16: Bills vs. Bears Player Props & Predictions, Justin Fields & Josh Allen Saturday December 24, 2022

The best player props for what looks to be an interesting NFL Week 16 clash between the Bills and the Bears on Christmas Eve football. This game will feature two of the most exciting Quarterbacks in the league in Josh Allen and Justin Fields. Luckily for you, we've also identified a number of different player prop performances for you to bet on. Sink your teeth into everything from touchdown props at Soldier Field, down to rushing yards props and receiving yards props, below.

Our predictive analytics model, known as DimersBOT, has run over 10,000 simulations of this game between the Bills and the Bears where we have assessed Josh Allen and the Bills as 8-point favorites. Based on our NFL Week 16 Bills-Bears props predictions, it also looks as though the Bills' Stefon Diggs is in for a big game, with the Buffalo WR featuring heavily in our predictions. While we have also listed player predictions for Justin Fields, Josh Allen, Gabe Davis, David Montgomery and Devin Singletary, with more detail about what you can expect from them, outlined below.

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Bills vs. Bears Player Props

Who will score a Touchdown?

Wondering where to look in TD props markets in this game between Bills vs. Bears? Well, the latest data for this Saturday football matchup is in, so let's find ourselves an early Christmas gift in the form of a winning prop bet.

Listed below are our best first touchdown scorer player props and best anytime touchdown scorer player props for both the Bills and the Bears, as well as player prop predictions.

And you know what, we provide this player prop information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop bets for Saturday's game between Buffalo and Chicago.

Scroll down for our complete list of first TD scorer prop predictions and anytime TD scorer prop predictions.

RELATED: Player Prop Bets for every NFL game

First Touchdown Scorer

According to our AI predictive analytics model, Bills' Stefon Diggs is the best first TD prop bet to place in Bills vs. Bears.

The Dimers artificial intelligence machine gives Diggs a 13.2% chance of cashing our first touchdown prop bet tickets at Soldier Field.

The next best option is the Bears' Justin Fields an 12.0% chance of reaching the endzone and cashing Saturday's first touchdown prop bets.

Look for the 🔥 below, as that indicates a spot where DimersBOT has found value against the sportsbooks. To make things easy for you, we even list the best player props bets for Bills-Bears, down below.

The Top-10 players most likely to hit the First Touchdown scorer prop bet in Saturday Football:

1. Stefon Diggs (Bills): 13.2% probability
2. Justin Fields (Bears): 12.0% probability
3. Josh Allen (Bills): 8.3% probability
4. Devin Singletary (Bills): 7.4% probability
5. Gabe Davis (Bills): 7.1% probability
6. David Montgomery (Bears): 6.9% probability
7. Dawson Knox (Bills): 6.7% probability
8. Cole Kmet (Bears): 5.3% probability
9. Velus Jones (Bears): 4.0% probability
10. Khalil Herbert (Bears): 3.4% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorers

Bills WR Diggs is also a 47.3% chance of cashing those anytime touchdown prop bet tickets if you're looking for something a little safer.

The next best anytime touchdown scorer prop option is once again Justin Fields, who is a 43.9% chance to score a touchdown at anytime during this game between the Bills and the Bears.

The Top-10 players most likely to cash Anytime Touchdown scorer prop bet tickets in Saturday Football:

1. Stefon Diggs (Bills): 47.3% probability
2. Justin Fields (Bears): 43.9% probability
3. Josh Allen (Bills): 32.7% probability
4. Devin Singletary (Bills): 28.8% probability
5. David Montgomery (Bears): 28.2% probability
6. Gabe Davis (Bills): 27.9% probability
7. Dawson Knox (Bills): 26.5% probability
8. Cole Kmet (Bears): 22.2% probability 🔥
9. Velus Jones (Bears): 18.0% probability
10. Khalil Herbert (Bears): 15.1% probability

For NFL prop bets from EVERY game being played this week, check out our NFL Prop Bets generator to find yourself today's best plays.

PICTURED: Stefon Diggs and Justin Fields

QB Passing Yards Prop Predictions

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bills' Josh Allen is predicted to throw for 256 passing yards, while the Bears' Justin Fields is expected to throw for just 156 yards as he continues to display his exceptional running ability.

• Josh Allen: 256 predicted yards 
• Justin Fields: 156 predicted yards

Rushing Yards Prop Predictions

Not surprisingly, Bears QB Justin Fields is expected to lead the way when it comes to rushing yards gained in Bills vs. Bears, with 66. Fields has come alive in the second half of the season and our artificial intelligence analysis suggests this trend is likely to continue on Saturday.

• Justin Fields (Bears): 66 predicted yards 🔥
• Devin Singletary (Bills): 57 predicted yards
• David Montgomery (Bears): 51 predicted yards
• Khalil Herbert (Bears): 49 predicted yards
• Josh Allen (Bills): 43 predicted yards 🔥
• James Cook (Bills): 28 predicted yards

Receiving Yards Prop Predictions

Bills' WR Stefon Diggs looks set for another a big game here against the Bears. The Buffalo star was easily the pick of the bunch when it came to our predictive analytics model identifying expected receiving yards numbers for this game, with 78. The next best performer is expected to be Diggs' teammate, Gabe Davis (47).

• Stefon Diggs (Bills): 78 predicted yards
• Gabe Davis (Bills): 47 predicted yards
• Dante Pettis (Bears): 42 predicted yards
• Dawson Knox (Bills): 38 predicted yards 🔥
• Cole Kmet (Bears): 34 predicted yards
• Isaiah McKenzie (Bills): 30 predicted yards
• Byron Pringle (Bears): 24 predicted yards
• Velus Jones (Bears): 22 predicted yards
• James Cook (Bills): 19 predicted yards
• David Montgomery (Bears): 18 predicted yards

PARLAY: Dimers' Christmas Eve NFL Parlay Is Our Gift To You
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Football weather? Bills-Bears is the coldest game of the weekend, with wind chills in Chicago approaching -20 below zero. How 12 NFL teams are bracing for arctic temp games Week 16: pic.twitter.com/JaRG0qMmXx

— Michele Steele (@MicheleSteele) December 21, 2022

Best Player Prop Bets

The best bets for Bills vs. Bears below are spots identified by our AI predictive analytics model following 10,000 simulations of this game, before we match those results against the lines set by the sportsbooks. When our numbers are quite different to those displayed by the sportsbooks then that means we've identified a prop betting opportunity - usually at tempting odds, too.

Sometimes the sportsbooks will set the line for a particular player prop too high, in which case we'd bet his Under. Other times they may have undervalued a player's expected contribution, and set his line quite low allowing us to take the juicy odds on offer for his Over.

It's important to note, the suggested player prop bets for Bills vs. Bears below are based on our algorithm finding an edge vs. the sportsbooks odds and lines, so using the sportsbook listed - where those factors are in our favor - is very important in order to maximize our potential to profit from player prop betting.

🔥 Player Prop Bet: Justin Fields Under 74.5 Rushing Yards (+104)

Our player props predictive analytics model has Bears QB Fields down for less than his line of 74.5 rushing yards (we have him getting just 66) on Saturday for Bills-Bears, so at odds of +104 we are betting his UNDER and getting a huge edge of 25.6% with PointsBet Sportsbook, where new customers can get 4x risk-free $200 bets to use on whatever they want, right here.

🔥 Player Prop Bet: Josh Allen Under 50.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Following over 10,000 different simulations of this Saturday matchup between the Bills and the Bears, our player prop model has identified that the rushing yards line of 50.5 for Bills QB Josh Allen is too high. We have Allen down for 43 rushing yards (see above), so betting his UNDER (-114) with DraftKings Sportsbook is the play, giving us another huge edge of 22.2% vs. the sportsbook. New DraftKings customers can score $150 in free bets from just a $5 wager here.

🔥 Player Prop Bet: Dawson Knox Over 25.5 Receiving Yards (-125)

The player props super computer has this time identified a receiving yards prop bet in another Bills man in Dawson Knox. We have him down for 38 receiving yards against the Bears on Saturday at a probability of 68.9% and with a 13.4% edge. By betting this OVER at PointsBet Sportsbook we get access to those 4x risk-free $200 bets, here.

🏈 Touchdown Scorer Bet: Cole Kmet Score a Touchdown (+420)

The Dimers player prop AI machine has found some value here for Cole Kmet to score a TD on Saturday when his Bears host the Bills. While the model has identified him as a 22.2% chance of reaching the endzone, the real value is the 3.0% edge we have vs. the sportsbooks' odds. We can bet this over at Caesars Sportsbook where new customers can score a risk-free first bet up to $1250 by tapping here.