NFL Prop Bets Today: Week 16, 2023

NFL prop bets are back for another huge week, with our best NFL player props here to assist you through Week 16. After simulating every NFL game on Sunday's Week 16 slate thousands of times, we've methodically determined the top 10 NFL player props today for forWeek 16 action.

With a lot of football action to consume and think about today, we have your back. Our NFL player props are here to make your Sunday a walk in the park, with our carefully curated NFL prop bets laid out below in order of the largest edge.

We used a powerful predictive analytics model to find these NFL prop plays, so you can be sure that our featured bets represent the best NFL props bets to make on Sunday, December 24, 2023.

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Best NFL Prop Picks - Week 16

With an exciting slate of Week 16 games scheduled across the league on Sunday, finding the best spots for NFL prop bets can be daunting.

That's where Dimers.com – and our independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT – comes in handy.

We have done the legwork for you, comparing all of the lines and odds from the major sports betting apps in America, to make betting on NFL player props as simple as possible in Week 16.

There are plenty of betting options when it comes to player props for Week 16, with players such as Chris Moore, Miles Sanders and David Achane presenting value according to DimersBOT.

Best Prop Bets for NFL Week 16

Our model has evaluated today's player props and found ten strong bets for Week 16, based on edges we have identified.

Our best player prop plays for Week 16 NFL are listed below.

Chris Moore Under 1.5 Receptions (+135)

• Odds: +135 via DraftKings Sportsbook
• Probability: 71.7%
• Edge: 29.2%
• Game: Seahawks vs. Titans (1:00PM ET)

Our model has found the best NFL prop bet for Week 16, focusing on the game between the Seahawks and Titans, with Chris Moore the player we are targetting. We recommend placing a bet on Chris Moore Under 1.5 Receptions for Tennessee this week.

DimersBOT projects that Moore has a 71.7% chance of going under 1.5 rec in Week 16, which give us a tasty 29.2% edge on the +135 odds currently available with DraftKings Sportsbook.

MORE: NFL Prop Bets Today

Miles Sanders Over 19.5 Rushing Yards (-113)

• Odds: -113 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Probability: 82.0%
• Edge: 28.9%
• Game: Packers vs. Panthers (1:00PM ET)

Our model has found another +EV prop bet for this week's NFL, with Miles Sanders in our sights in the Packers - Panthers game. We recommend placing a bet on Miles Sanders Over 19.5 Rushing Yards, with an edge of 28.9% available on the -113 odds available on FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Check out our NFL picks for every game this week

David Moore Over 1.5 Receptions (+170)

• Odds: +170 via DraftKings Sportsbook
• Probability: 65.8%
• Edge: 28.8%
• Game: Jaguars vs. Buccaneers (4:05PM ET)

According to our model, the next best player prop bet for this week's NFL features David Moore in the Jaguars vs. Buccaneers clash. The recommended play here is on David Moore Over 1.5 Receptions, with DimersBOT detecting an edge of 28.8% on the 170 odds available on DraftKings Sportsbook.

MORE: Our model's Super Bowl odds update after each gameweek

De'Von Achane Under 46.5 Rushing Yards (-113)

• Odds: -113 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Probability: 81.0%
• Edge: 28.0%
• Game: Cowboys vs. Dolphins (4:25PM ET)

The next NFL player prop we recommend playing in Week 16 comes in the Cowboys vs. Dolphins game, with De'Von Achane presenting value in the rushing yards prop market. We recommend placing a bet on De'Von Achane Under 46.5 Rushing Yards for Miami this week.

DimersBOT projects that Achane has a 81.0% chance of going under 46.5 rush yds in Week 16, which give us a nice 28.0% edge on the -113 odds currently available from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Kyler Murray Under 5.5 Rushing Attempts (-105)

• Odds: -105 via DraftKings Sportsbook
• Probability: 77.7%
• Edge: 26.5%
• Game: Cardinals vs. Bears (4:25PM ET)

According to our model, the next best player prop bet for NFL Week 16 features Kyler Murray in the Cardinals vs. Bears contest. The recommended play here is on Kyler Murray Under 5.5 Rushing Attempts, with DimersBOT detecting an edge of 26.5% on the 170 odds available with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Romeo Doubs Under 4.5 Receptions (-130)

• Odds: -130 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Probability: 82.1%
• Edge: 25.6%
• Game: Packers vs. Panthers (1:00PM ET)

The next player our model is targeting in NFL Week 16 is Romeo Doubs in the Packers vs. Panthers clash. The recommended play here is on Romeo Doubs Under 4.5 Receptions, with DimersBOT finding a favorable edge of 25.6% on the -130 odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Ezekiel Elliott Under 4.5 Receptions (-140)

• Odds: -140 via DraftKings Sportsbook
• Probability: 83.1%
• Edge: 24.8%
• Game: Patriots vs. Broncos (8:15PM ET)

Our model has discovered another +EV prop bet for this week's NFL, with Ezekiel Elliott in our sights in the Patriots - Broncos game. We recommend placing a bet on Ezekiel Elliott Under 4.5 Receptions, with an edge of 24.8% available on the -140 odds available with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Michael Gallup Under 1.5 Receptions (+120)

• Odds: +120 via DraftKings Sportsbook
• Probability: 69.8%
• Edge: 24.3%
• Game: Cowboys vs. Dolphins (4:25PM ET)

The next NFL player prop we recommend playing this week comes in the Cowboys vs. Dolphins game, with Michael Gallup presenting value in the receptions prop market. We recommend placing a bet on Michael Gallup Under 1.5 Receptions this week.

DimersBOT projects that Michael Gallup has a 76.6% chance of going over 59.5 rush yds in Week 16, which give us a nice 24.2% edge on the -110 odds available right now at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Justin Fields Over 59.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

• Odds: -110 via DraftKings Sportsbook
• Probability: 76.6%
• Edge: 24.2%
• Game: Cardinals vs. Bears (4:25PM ET)

According to our model, the next best player prop bet for NFL Week 16 features Justin Fields in the Cardinals vs. Bears clash. The recommended play here is on Justin Fields Over 59.5 Rushing Yards, with DimersBOT detecting an edge of 24.2% on the -110 odds available on DraftKings Sportsbook.

Samaje Perine Under 15.5 Receiving Yards (-113)

• Odds: -113 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Probability: 76.5%
• Edge: 23.4%
• Game: Patriots vs. Broncos (8:15PM ET)

With an edge of 23.4% detected by our model, the 10th prop of the day sees us taking Samaje Perine Under 15.5 Receiving Yards. According to our model, this Samaje Perine prop has a 76.5% chance of hitting in the Patriots vs. Broncos clash today. For the best odds for this play, head to FanDuel Sportsbook, where there is -113 avaialable for you to take.

NFL Prop Picks - Week 16, 2023

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge
Seahawks vs. Titans	Chris Moore Under 1.5 Receptions	+135 @ DraftKings Sportsbook	29.2%
Packers vs. Panthers	Miles Sanders Over 19.5 Rushing Yards	-113 @ FanDuel Sportsbook	28.9%
Jaguars vs. Buccaneers	David Moore Over 1.5 Receptions	+170 @ DraftKings Sportsbook	28.8%
Cowboys vs. Dolphins	De'Von Achane Under 46.5 Rushing Yards	-113 @ FanDuel Sportsbook	28.0%
Cardinals vs. Bears	Kyler Murray Under 5.5 Rushing Attempts	-105 @ DraftKings Sportsbook	26.5%
Packers vs. Panthers	Romeo Doubs Under 4.5 Receptions	-130 @ FanDuel Sportsbook	25.6%
Patriots vs. Broncos	Ezekiel Elliott Under 4.5 Receptions	-140 @ DraftKings Sportsbook	24.8%
Cowboys vs. Dolphins	Michael Gallup Under 1.5 Receptions	+120 @ DraftKings Sportsbook	24.3%
Cardinals vs. Bears	Justin Fields Over 59.5 Rushing Yards	-110 @ DraftKings Sportsbook	24.2%
Patriots vs. Broncos	Samaje Perine Under 15.5 Receiving Yards	-113 @ FanDuel Sportsbook	23.4%

MORE: NFL Week 16 Predictions

More on NFL

This article is part of our NFL player props and NFL best bets series.

For more NFL betting content, we have NFL trends for every game, as well as daily NFL betting news and the latest Super Bowl odds and predictions.

Make Informed NFL Prop Betting Decisions - Week 16, 2023

At Dimers.com, we take the responsibility of providing NFL prop betting picks very seriously, especially when considering the implications of gambling and the potential impact on our users' financial well-being and quality of life.

While we strive to provide accurate and insightful betting advice for prop bettors, we always recommend that our users exercise caution and conduct their own research before using our NFL prop picks or any other betting advice, as ultimately, it's up to each individual to make informed decisions that align with their personal values and goals. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

This prop betting preview has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NFL props for Week 16, 2023, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.