NFL Week 10: Best player prop bet for Raiders vs. Broncos in Thursday Night Football

The Denver Broncos host the Las Vegas Raiders in a Week 10 Thursday Night Football AFC West showdown at Empower Field at Mile High tonight. We are hunting for our fifth win on a Primetime NFL Prop Bet, continuing our success on NFL props and player prop bets which includes wins on Jahmyr Gibbs (Receiving Yards), Kyler Murray (Rushing Yards), Jordan Love (Rushing Yards), and the Week 7 single-play cash on Bills WR Josh Palmer.

The Broncos are heavy favorites to win tonight's matchup, predicted to triumph 25-17, and our Primetime Prop Bet focusses on Broncos wide receiver, Courtland Sutton.

This bet has been identified and rigorously cross-referenced to ensure it meets the criteria for a "Primetime Prop Bet."

Our process began with the Dimers NFL Trends page, which shows a significant historical success rate against this line. Next, we consulted the Dimers NFL Player Projections page, which confirmed the numerical edge.

Best NFL prop bet tonight - Raiders vs. Broncos

Bet: Courtland Sutton over 55.5 receiving yards ✅

Looking at the data, Sutton has recorded more than 55.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 7 appearances. This high hit rate demonstrates consistent production from the Broncos' top receiving threat, highlighting a floor that the current prop line is simply understating.

Sutton is projected to finish with 59.7 Receiving Yards, providing a cushion over the 55.5-yard prop line. This projection suggests the game script - with the Broncos expected to win comfortably - will still see quarterback Bo Nix targeting his veteran receiver frequently enough to clear this total.

His projected 4.0 Receptions indicate the quality of his catches (high yardage per reception) that often result in chunk plays.

Sutton's weekly receiving statistics from the 2025 season demonstrate his consistent ability to top this number:

• Week 3 at Chargers: 118 Receiving Yards ✅
• Week 4 vs. Bengals: 81 Receiving Yards ✅
• Week 5 at Eagles: 99 Receiving Yards ✅
• Week 6 at Jets: 17 Receiving Yards
• Week 7 vs. Giants: 87 Receiving Yards ✅
• Week 8 vs. Cowboys: 67 Receiving Yards ✅
• Week 9 at Texans: 30 Receiving Yards

Despite two recent dips, the 55.5-yard line is extremely attractive. Combining his strong historical trend, a compelling statistical projection that is higher than the line, and the high-volume role he commands, the Courtland Sutton Over 55.5 Receiving Yards (-113) is the Primetime Prop Bet to ride tonight as we aim for our fifth win.

ANALYSIS: Full betting preview for Raiders at Broncos

Combining his strong historical trend, a compelling statistical projection that is significantly higher than the line, and the likely game script, the Courtland Sutton Over 55.5 Receiving Yards (-113) is the Primetime Prop Bet to ride tonight.