NFL Player Props and Predictions | Raiders vs. Steelers | Week 16

Last updated: Dec 21, 2023, 7:22PM | Published: Dec 22, 2022, 4:09PM

We've got player props galore for what looks to be an interesting NFL Week 16 clash between the Raiders and the Steelers on Christmas Eve for Saturday night football. Luckily for you, we've also identified a number of different player prop performances for you to bet on. Sink your teeth into everything from touchdown props at Acrisure Stadium, down to rushing yards props and receiving yards props, below. Our predictive analytics model, known as DimersBOT, has run over 10,000 simulations of this game between the Raiders and the Steelers where we have the Steelers registering a win. Based on our NFL Week 16 Raiders-Steelers props predictions, it also looks as though the Raiders' Josh Jacobs is in for a big game, with the Las Vegas RB featuring heavily in our projections. While we have also identified player props for Najee Harris, Davante Adams, Pat Freiermuth, Mack Hollins and George Pickens, with more detail about what you can expect from them, outlined below.

PARLAY: Raiders vs. Steelers Same Game Parlay

DraftKings Bet $5, Win $150 promo is one of the best out there. If you're a new DKs customer you can claim it here.

Raiders vs. Steelers Props: Touchdowns

Wondering where to look in TD props markets in this game between Raiders vs. Steelers? Well, the latest data for this Saturday night football matchup is in, so let's find ourselves an early Christmas gift in the form of a winning prop bet.

Listed below are our best first touchdown scorer player props and best anytime touchdown scorer player props for both the Raiders and the Steelers, as well as player prop predictions.

And you know what, we provide this player prop information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop bets for Saturday night's game between Las Vegas and Pittsburgh.

Scroll down for our complete list of first TD scorer prop predictions and anytime TD scorer prop predictions.

Who Will Be The First Touchdown Scorer?

According to our AI predictive analytics model, Raiders' Josh Jacobs is the best first TD prop bet to place in Raiders vs. Steelers.

The Dimers artificial intelligence machine gives Jacobs a 14.1% chance of cashing our first touchdown prop bet tickets at Acrisure Stadium.

The next best option is the Steelers' Najee Harris an 12.3% chance of reaching the endzone and cashing Saturday night's first touchdown prop bets.

Below we list the Top-10 players most likely to hit the First Touchdown scorer prop bet in Saturday Night Football.

10 Players to Score First TD	Probability %
1. Josh Jacobs (Raiders)	14.1% probability
2. Najee Harris (Steelers)	12.3% probability
3. Davante Adams (Raiders)	11.4% probability
4. George Pickens (Steelers)	9.5% probability
5. Pat Freiermuth (Steelers)	7.9% probability
6. Diontae Johnson (Steelers)	6.0% probability
7. Darren Waller (Raiders)	5.4% probability
8. Hunter Renfrow (Raiders)	5.1% probability
9. Kenny Pickett (Steelers)	4.8% probability
10. Mack Hollins (Raiders)	3.3% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

Raiders RB Jacobs is also a 48.9% chance of cashing those anytime touchdown prop bet tickets if you're looking for something a little safer.

The next best anytime touchdown scorer prop option is once again Najee Harris, who is a 44.5% chance to score a touchdown during this game between the Raiders and the Steelers.

Here's our list of the 10 players most likely to give us a payout on anytime touchdown player prop bets in Saturday Night Football.

10 Players to Score a TD	Probability %
1. Josh Jacobs (Raiders)	48.9% probability
2. Najee Harris (Steelers)	44.5% probability
3. Davante Adams (Raiders)	41.6% probability
4. George Pickens (Steelers)	36.2% probability
5. Pat Freiermuth (Steelers)	30.3% probability
6. Diontae Johnson (Steelers)	24.8% probability
7. Darren Waller (Raiders)	22.2% probability
8. Kenny Pickett (Steelers)	20.4% probability
9. Hunter Renfrow (Raiders)	20.1% probability
10. Mack Hollins (Raiders)	14.3% probability

For NFL prop bets from EVERY game being played this week, check out our NFL Prop Bets generator to find yourself today's best plays.

Josh Jacobs player prop bets Raiders vs. Steelers

PICTURED: Raiders RB Josh Jacobs

Raiders at Steelers Player Props

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Raiders' Derek Carr is predicted to have a big game with 266 passing yards. The Steelers' Kenny Pickett is expected to throw for 227 yards.

Look for the 🔥 below, as that indicates a spot where DimersBOT has found value against the sportsbooks. To make things easy for you, we even list the best player props bets for Raiders-Steelers, below.

Raiders QB: Passing Yards Prop

Derek Carr: 266 predicted passing yards 🔥

Steelers QB: Passing Yards Prop

Kenny Pickett: 227 predicted passing yards

Raiders Player Props: Rushing Yards

Josh Jacobs: 103 predicted rushing yards 🔥
Zamir White: 8 predicted rushing yards
Derek Carr: 8 predicted rushing yards

Steelers Player Props: Rushing Yards

Najee Harris: 68 predicted rushing yards
Jaylen Warren: 26 predicted rushing yards
Kenny Pickett: 21 predicted rushing yards

Raiders Player Props: Receiving Yards

Davante Adams: 89 predicted receiving yards 🔥
Darren Waller: 40 predicted receiving yards
Hunter Renfrow: 34 predicted receiving yards
Mack Hollins: 28 predicted receiving yards
Foster Moreau: 26 predicted receiving yards

Steelers Player Props: Receiving Yards

George Pickens: 46 predicted receiving yards
Diontae Johnson: 42 predicted receiving yards
Pat Freiermuth: 41 predicted receiving yards
Zach Gentry: 15 predicted receiving yards
Steven Sims: 15 predicted receiving yards

ANALYSIS: Dimers' Christmas Eve NFL Parlay Is Our Gift To You
PROPS: Bills vs. Bears Player Props and TDs

Player Prop Bets: Raiders vs. Steelers

The value bets below are spots identified by our AI predictive analytics model following 10,000 simulations of this game, before we match those results against the lines set by the sportsbooks. When our numbers are quite different to those displayed by the sportsbooks then that means we've identified a prop betting opportunity - usually at tempting odds, too.

Sometimes the sportsbooks will set the line for a particular player prop too high, in which case we'd bet his Under. Other times they may have undervalued a player's expected contribution, and set his line quite low allowing us to take the juicy odds on offer for his Over.

It's important to note, the suggested player prop bets below are based on our algorithm finding an edge vs. the sportsbooks odds and lines, so using the sportsbook listed - where those factors are in our favor - is very important in order to maximize our potential to profit from player prop betting.

🔥 Prop Bet: Josh Jacobs Over 82.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Our player props predictive analytics model has Jacobs down for more than his line of 82.5 rushing yards (we have him going for 103) on Saturday night, so at odds of -115 we are betting his OVER and getting an edge of 15.3% with PointsBet Sportsbook, where new customers can get 4x risk-free $200 bets to use on whatever they want, right here.

🔥 Prop Bet: Derek Carr Over 218.5 Passing Yards (-113)

Following over 10,000 different simulations of this Saturday night matchup between the Raiders and the Steelers, our player prop model has identified that the passing yards line of 218.5 for Derek Carr is too low. We have the Las Vegas man down for 266 passing yards (see above), so betting his OVER (-113) with DraftKings Sportsbook is the play, giving us an edge of 14.3% vs. the sportsbook. New DraftKings customers can score $150 in free bets from just a $5 wager here.

🔥 Prop Bet: Davante Adams Over 75.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

The player props super computer has identified a receiving yards prop bet in another Raiders man in Davante Adams. We have him down for 89 receiving yards on Saturday night at a probability of 58.6% and with a 5.1% edge. By betting this OVER at PointsBet Sportsbook we get access to those 4x risk-free $200 bets, here.

🏈 Touchdown Bet: George Pickens Score a Touchdown (+245)

The Dimers player prop AI machine has found some value here for George Pickens to score a TD on Saturday night. While the model has identified him as a 36.2% chance of reaching the endzone, the real value is the 7.2% edge we have vs. the sportsbooks' odds. We can bet this over at Caesars Sportsbook where new customers can score a risk-free first bet up to $1250 by tapping here.

Nick Slade

Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience as a sports and betting expert, serves as the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, where he steers the editorial and digital content strategy for leading platforms like Dimers.com, Stats Insider and Gambling Today. Specializing in soccer, Nick brings a global perspective to his coverage of the sport, including detailed analyses of MLS games. He also contributes to NHL content through game previews, best bets, and props, and lends his expertise to crafting NBA first basket betting content.

With a robust background as a journalist and broadcaster, Nick has been a trusted voice on major networks and channels such as Fox Sports, WCBV-TV Boston, ESPN, ABC, and others. His profound understanding of sports and betting dynamics has made him a sought-after authority in the wagering and gambling industries.

On the socials