Mets vs. Marlins prediction: Tight battle projected in updated analysis for Sunday's MLB matchup [5/24/2026]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get New York Mets vs Miami Marlins predictions for MLB Sunday.

New York Mets-Miami Marlins Predictions and Game Preview.
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins MLB prediction for Sunday, May 24, 2026.

The Miami Marlins and New York Mets will meet in MLB action at loanDepot park on Sunday, starting at 1:40 PM ET.

Tyler Phillips (0-0, 1.20 ERA) will get the ball for the Marlins, up against Christian Scott (0-0, 4.12 ERA) for the Mets.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model gives an equal chance for both both teams to win the Mets-Marlins matchup.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's Mets vs. Marlins matchup, including best bets and picks.

Mets vs. Marlins prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLB game between the Mets and Marlins, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently can't split the two teams, giving both the Mets and Marlins a 50% chance of winning the game.

According to our model, the Marlins (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 51% chance of staying under.

 

Mets vs. Marlins odds [5/24/2026]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Mets Marlins
Run Line -1.5 (+140) +1.5 (-165)
Moneyline -118 +102
Total o8.5 (+100) u8.5 (-118)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mets vs. Marlins picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Run Line Marlins +1.5 -165
Moneyline Marlins +102
Total Over 8.5 +100

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Marlins to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Mets vs. Marlins game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's MLB matchup between the Marlins and Mets at loanDepot park is scheduled to commence at 1:40 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict a close game between the Mets and Marlins on Sunday, with each team having a 50% chance of winning.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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