Saints vs. Falcons Prediction: Atlanta Predicted to Win Following Latest Data Analysis for NFL Week 4 [2024]

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Written by Mac Douglass
New Orleans Saints-Atlanta Falcons Predictions and Game Preview.
Mercedes-Benz Stadium sets the stage for the NFL matchup between the New Orleans Saints and Atlanta Falcons this Sunday.

The Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints will meet in Week 4 of the NFL season at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, with kickoff at 1:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Falcons as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Saints-Falcons game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Falcons with a win probability of 59%, while the Saints have 41%."

Saints vs. Falcons Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 4 action between the Falcons and Saints at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Saints vs. Falcons matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Falcons vs. Saints picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

READER EXCLUSIVE: Sign up with code 20FOOTBALL at checkout right now to receive 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! This offer won't last forever.

Saints vs. Falcons Predictions

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Saints and Falcons 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Falcons a 59% chance of beating the Saints in Week 4 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Falcons winning 22-20.

According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and the Saints and Falcons each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 42.5 points also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

 

In addition to our Saints vs. Falcons predictions, we've also here's what else we've got for today’s action:

Saints vs. Falcons Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Saints Falcons
Spread +2.5 (-105) -2.5 (-115)
Moneyline +130 -145
Total o42.5 (-110) u42.5 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Saints vs. Falcons Picks

Our model's strongest edge in today's Saints vs. Falcons matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Saints vs. Falcons TD Scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Saints vs. Falcons?

According to our model, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is most likely to score the first TD in Saints vs. Falcons.

Our projections give Robinson a 15.5% chance of scoring the first TD at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, while the Falcons RB is a 55.9% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

New Orleans Saints

Player First TD Probability
Alvin Kamara 13.7%
Rashid Shaheed 8.5%
Chris Olave 6.3%

Atlanta Falcons

Player First TD Probability
Bijan Robinson 15.5%
Drake London 9.4%
Darnell Mooney 6.8%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

New Orleans Saints

Player Anytime TD Probability
Alvin Kamara 50.1%
Rashid Shaheed 35.5%
Chris Olave 26.0%

Atlanta Falcons

Player Anytime TD Probability
Bijan Robinson 55.9%
Drake London 38.2%
Darnell Mooney 28.7%

For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 4 touchdown scorer predictions

Saints vs Falcons Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Saints and Falcons. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Saints-Falcons page now to access every player prop projection.

Saints vs. Falcons Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Saints' Derek Carr is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Falcons' Kirk Cousins.

Saints Rushing

Alvin Kamara, Jamaal Williams and Taysom Hill are projected to be the leading rushers for the Saints.

Player Position
Alvin Kamara RB
Jamaal Williams RB
Taysom Hill TE

Falcons Rushing

Bijan Robinson, Tyler Allgeier and Kirk Cousins are expected to lead the Falcons in rushing yards.

Player Position
Bijan Robinson RB
Tyler Allgeier RB
Kirk Cousins QB

Saints Receiving

Chris Olave, Rashid Shaheed, Cedrick Wilson, Foster Moreau and Alvin Kamara are projected to top the receiving yards for the Saints.

Player Position
Chris Olave WR
Rashid Shaheed WR
Cedrick Wilson WR
Foster Moreau TE
Alvin Kamara RB

Falcons Receiving

Drake London, Darnell Mooney, Kyle Pitts, Bijan Robinson and Ray-Ray McCloud are projected to lead the Falcons in receiving yards.

Player Position
Drake London WR
Darnell Mooney WR
Kyle Pitts TE
Bijan Robinson RB
Ray-Ray McCloud WR

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Conclusion

We predict the Falcons, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Saints in Week 4 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Saints vs. Falcons insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Stay updated with the latest NFL news and our data-led NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the latest probabilities for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac brings a well-traveled perspective and broad sports knowledge to Dimers, specializing in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets and Formula 1 race previews. Known for finding top new user promos across major sportsbooks, Mac enhances the betting experience for both novices and veterans.

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