Patriots vs. Jets Prediction: Jets Predicted to Win After New Data Released for TNF Week 3 [2024]

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Written by Dave Garofolo
New England Patriots-New York Jets Predictions and Game Preview.
MetLife Stadium sets the stage for the NFL matchup between the New England Patriots and New York Jets this Thursday.

The New York Jets and New England Patriots will lock horns in Week 3 of the NFL season at MetLife Stadium on Thursday, with kickoff at 8:15PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Jets as the most likely winner of the game.

"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Patriots-Jets game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Jets with a win probability of 76% and the Patriots with 24%."

Patriots vs. Jets Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 3 matchup between the Jets and Patriots at MetLife Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:15PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of this week's Patriots vs. Jets matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Jets vs. Patriots picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

READER EXCLUSIVE: Sign up with code 20FOOTBALL at checkout right now to receive 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! This offer won't last forever.

Patriots vs. Jets Predictions

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NFL matchup between the Patriots and Jets 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Jets a 76% chance of beating the Patriots in Week 3 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Jets winning 23-16.

According to our model, the Jets (-6) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 39.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

 

Patriots vs. Jets Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Patriots Jets
Spread +6 (-110) -6 (-110)
Moneyline +245 -275
Total o39.5 (-105) u39.5 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Patriots vs. Jets Picks

Our model's strongest edge in the Patriots vs. Jets matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Patriots vs. Jets TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Patriots vs. Jets?

According to our model, New York's Breece Hall is most likely to score the first touchdown in Patriots vs. Jets.

Our projections give Hall a 17.0% chance of scoring the first TD at MetLife Stadium, while the Jets RB is a 56.5% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

New England Patriots

Player First TD Probability
Rhamondre Stevenson 11.9%
Hunter Henry 5.6%
Antonio Gibson 5.4%

New York Jets

Player First TD Probability
Breece Hall 17.0%
Garrett Wilson 11.4%
Allen Lazard 6.1%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

New England Patriots

Player Anytime TD Probability
Rhamondre Stevenson 43.6%
Antonio Gibson 22.7%
Hunter Henry 21.9%

New York Jets

Player Anytime TD Probability
Breece Hall 56.5%
Garrett Wilson 41.1%
Allen Lazard 24.6%

Patriots vs Jets Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Patriots and Jets. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Patriots-Jets page now to access every player prop projection.

Patriots vs. Jets Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Patriots' Jacoby Brissett is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Jets' Aaron Rodgers.

Patriots Rushing

Rhamondre Stevenson, Antonio Gibson and Jacoby Brissett are projected to be the leading rushers for the Patriots.

Player Position
Rhamondre Stevenson RB
Antonio Gibson RB
Jacoby Brissett QB

Jets Rushing

Breece Hall, Braelon Allen and Aaron Rodgers are expected to lead the Jets in rushing yards.

Player Position
Breece Hall RB
Braelon Allen RB
Aaron Rodgers QB

Patriots Receiving

Ja'Lynn Polk, Hunter Henry, DeMario Douglas, K.J. Osborn and Rhamondre Stevenson are projected to top the receiving yards for the Patriots.

Player Position
Ja'Lynn Polk WR
Hunter Henry TE
DeMario Douglas WR
K.J. Osborn WR
Rhamondre Stevenson RB

Jets Receiving

Garrett Wilson, Mike Williams, Breece Hall, Allen Lazard and Tyler Conklin are projected to lead the Jets in receiving yards.

Player Position
Garrett Wilson WR
Mike Williams WR
Breece Hall RB
Allen Lazard WR
Tyler Conklin TE

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Conclusion

We predict the Jets, with a 76% win probability, will likely beat the Patriots in Week 3 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Patriots vs. Jets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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More on NFL

Stay updated with the latest NFL news and our data-led NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the most up-to-date predictions for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for the NFL and MLB, crafts insightful game previews and betting props for the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM and PGA TOUR tournaments.

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