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NBA Playoffs 2020 Los Angeles Lakers vs. Denver Nuggets Game Four: Predictions, picks and bets
We have ourselves a series! The Nuggets are right back in this after winning Game Three on Tuesday night.
If not for AD’s huuuuge buzzer beater three in Game Two, the Nuggets could very easily be in front of the Lakers right now, and this game has massive implications for both teams.
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As you’ll see in our NBA Bet Hub predictions, our model has the Lakers coming out on top, but it’s set to be another tight one 👇
Predictions based on 10,000+ simulations
Dimers' Suggested Plays
🔥 BEST: Nuggets +6.0
💵 Moneyline: Lakers (-250*)
☝ Over/Under: Total OVER 214
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🔥 BEST: Spread
Nuggets +6 has a 53% probability
As long as the sportsbooks continue to favor the Lakers by this much, we are going to continue to bet the Nuggets! Denver has covered in the last two games, and we’ve got them as a 53% chance of doing so again.
💵 Moneyline
Lakers (-250*) to win has a 68% probability
The Nuggets have been awesome of late, but that isn’t deterring our model at the ML. The Lakers are a huge 68% chance of winning this one, so even at the low odds, they’re the moneyline bet.
☝ Over/Under
Total Points Over 214 has a 51% probability
Neither team seems to have any answers to the others’ top offensive weapons, with all four of LeBron, AD, Murray and Jokic putting up points this series. Our model has this trend continuing and the Over coming through in Game Four.
🏀 Dimers' take-out
An all-important game here, with both sides desperate for a win for different reasons. Look for LeBron to lead the Lakers to a 3-1 lead. If you’re keen for some action, check out our reviews of the sportsbooks in your state, here.
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*Odds and probabilities correct at time of publishing.