NBA Playoffs 2020 Los Angeles Lakers vs. Denver Nuggets Game Four: Predictions, picks and bets

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Written by Ryan Leaver
NBA Playoffs 2020 Los Angeles Lakers vs. Denver Nuggets Game Four: Predictions, picks and bets

We have ourselves a series! The Nuggets are right back in this after winning Game Three on Tuesday night.

If not for AD’s huuuuge buzzer beater three in Game Two, the Nuggets could very easily be in front of the Lakers right now, and this game has massive implications for both teams.

RELATED: Bet $1, Win $100 with BetMGM if either team hits a 3!

As you’ll see in our NBA Bet Hub predictions, our model has the Lakers coming out on top, but it’s set to be another tight one 👇

 
Predictions based on 10,000+ simulations

 

Dimers' Suggested Plays

🔥 BEST: Nuggets +6.0

💵 Moneyline: Lakers (-250*)

☝ Over/Under: Total OVER 214

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🔥 BEST: Spread

Nuggets +6 has a 53% probability

As long as the sportsbooks continue to favor the Lakers by this much, we are going to continue to bet the Nuggets! Denver has covered in the last two games, and we’ve got them as a 53% chance of doing so again.

💵 Moneyline

Lakers (-250*) to win has a 68% probability

The Nuggets have been awesome of late, but that isn’t deterring our model at the ML. The Lakers are a huge 68% chance of winning this one, so even at the low odds, they’re the moneyline bet.

☝ Over/Under

Total Points Over 214 has a 51% probability

Neither team seems to have any answers to the others’ top offensive weapons, with all four of LeBron, AD, Murray and Jokic putting up points this series. Our model has this trend continuing and the Over coming through in Game Four.

🏀 Dimers' take-out

An all-important game here, with both sides desperate for a win for different reasons. Look for LeBron to lead the Lakers to a 3-1 lead. If you’re keen for some action, check out our reviews of the sportsbooks in your state, here.

Read our comprehensive online sportsbook reviews here.

*Odds and probabilities correct at time of publishing.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Sports Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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