NBA Player Props, Betting Picks and Sportsbook Odds - Tuesday March 22
Last updated: | Published:As March Madness takes a short pause, a slate of NBA and some player prop bets is exactly what the doctor ordered.
Weekly record: 2-1 (+0.8u)
So how do our player prop picks work exactly? Well, our predictive analytics model has crunched the numbers ahead of tonight's games, giving us the likely stats projections which we've matched up against the sportsbook lines to find the biggest differential and edge for you to make a play on. While this article contains the best edges that we've found against the books, you can run this exercise yourself by looking in the Pre-Game Predictions tab of the game of your choice in the NBA Bet Hub.
Check out our best plays for tonight's action, courtesy of our NBA Bet Hub👇
Nuggets @ Magic
PLAYER: Jamal Murray
BET:🔥 OVER 20.5 points with PointsBet (-118)
The Denver Nuggets travel to Orlando to face a Magic team that is about to be decimated by trades as the deadline looms. Barring any immediate moves made before tip, Orlando should still have Gordon and Fournier take the court, but we're looking over to the Denver side for our first play of the day, which is Jamal Murray going over his points total.
Not to be offensive (but so what if I am, he's never going to read this, right?), but Murray is kind of a downhill skier who likes to beat up on the weak teams. His two recent outings (23 against the Pelicans and 34 against the Bulls) backs up this theory. We have him down for 23 points.
MORE: Probabilities for Nuggets @ Magic
Lakers @ Pelicans
PLAYER: Zion Williamson
BET:🔥 OVER 26.5 points with FanDuel Sportsbook (-112)
Regular readers of our daily prop picks article know that we looooooove Zion here. We're sorry if you're sick of reading about him, but the stats speak for themselves: Zion Williamson is 37-22-5 on his points total over all-time. That's 57.8%. Any smart bettor is going to keep riding this out, over and over.
Somehow the sportsbooks still haven't caught up to the fact that the former No. 1 pick is routinely putting up huge numbers. Our projections has him down for 29. The only threat here is just how bad are the Los Angeles Lakers going to be? We don't want Zion sitting the 4th because of a blowout.
MORE: Probabilities for Lakers @ Pelicans
Wizards @ Knicks
PLAYER: Julius Randle
BET:🔥 UNDER 43.5 pts + reb + ast with FanDuel Sportsbook (-111)
Upon looking at this game in the Dimers NBA Bet Hub to check out Randle's statline, the projections looked really impressive: 24 points, 11 rebounds, 6 assists. That's a monster line, but FanDuel Sportsbook think he's going even bigger with a combined total of 43.5 points. We're going to trust the data and take the Under on this one.
MORE: Probabilities for Wizards @ Knicks
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