NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Saturday 12/23/2023

Another big day of NBA action is on the menu, and we've simulated each matchup 10,000 times to find the most reliable NBA first basket predictions and odds for Saturday, December 23, 2023.

Saturday's NBA slate features big names such as Luka Doncic, Anthony Davis and LeBron James, each with a high chance of scoring first when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props have become one of the most popular options for sports fans to bet on, and by using Saturday's data-driven NBA predictions below, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.

The best sportsbooks across the country offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, but identifying where the best value lies can be puzzling. That's where Dimers.com's state-of-the-art approach comes into play.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our basketball model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on December 23.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Saturday 12/23/2023

Having simulated the outcome of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has generated the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Saturday.

1. LeBron James To Score First Basket (+600)

• Odds: +600
• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 16.6%
• Matchup: Lakers vs. Thunder (8:00PM EST)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Saturday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Lakers and Thunder. The bet is on LeBron James (LAL) at odds of +600 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 2.3%.

The next two suggested bets are for De'Aaron Fox (1.4% edge) to score first in the Timberwolves vs. Kings game and Anthony Davis (1.0%) to score the first basket in the Lakers vs. Thunder matchup.

2. De'Aaron Fox To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: +650
• Edge: 1.4%
• Probability: 14.7%
• Matchup: Timberwolves vs. Kings (10:00PM EST)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today comes in the Timberwolves vs. Kings game, where our model has found an edge of 1.4% on De'Aaron Fox (SAC) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

3. Anthony Davis To Score First Basket (+490)

• Odds: +490
• Edge: 1.0%
• Probability: 18%
• Game: Lakers vs. Thunder (8:00PM EST)

Our next NBA first basket bet today comes in the Lakers vs. Thunder game, where our model has found an edge of 1.0% on Anthony Davis (LAL) at odds of +490 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

4. Anfernee Simons To Score First Basket (+700)

• Odds: +700
• Edge: 1.0%
• Probability: 13.5%
• Game: Trail Blazers vs. Warriors (8:30PM EST)

The next best first basket bet for Saturday's NBA action comes in the Trail Blazers vs. Warriors game, where our model has found an edge of 1.0% on Anfernee Simons (POR) at odds of +700 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA First Basket Predictions: Saturday, December 23, 2023

In addition to providing you with the best NBA first basket bets today, Dimers.com has also found the most likely players to score the first basket across all of Saturday's games.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across today's games is Luka Doncic, with a probability of 18.4%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Anthony Davis, with a 18.0% probability, and LeBron James, with a 16.6% probability.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: December 23, 2023

Thanks to simulating each one of Saturday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Luka Doncic (Mavericks)	18.4%
Anthony Davis (Lakers)	18.0%
LeBron James (Lakers)	16.6%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)	15.8%
De'Aaron Fox (Kings)	14.7%
Jarrett Allen (Cavaliers)	13.6%
Anfernee Simons (Trail Blazers)	13.5%

Keep in mind that this list only shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Saturday, which does not always indicate that DimersBOT recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to look out for favorable odds.

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: December 23, 2023

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for December 23, 2023, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks for Saturday, December 23, have been made after thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's crucial that you practice responsible gambling and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More About NBA

This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.

For more NBA betting content we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news, the best NBA promos and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.