NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Monday 12/25/2023

We have another exciting day of professional hoops upon us, and we've simulated every game 10,000 times to find the most reliable NBA first basket picks and odds for Monday, December 25, 2023.

Monday's NBA slate is expected to showcase star players such as Anthony Davis, LeBron James and Luka Doncic, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props are one of the more popular options for basketball bettors to wager on, and by using Monday's data-backed NBA predictions below, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.

The best sportsbooks offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our high-tech machine learning and analysis, Dimers.com has identified where the best value can be found on Monday, 12/25.

Here, we will provide you with a list of players that our basketball model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on December 25.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Monday 12/25/2023

Having simulated the result of today's NBA matchups 10K times each, our leading predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has found the best NBA first basket betting picks for Monday.

1. LeBron James To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: +650
• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 17%
• Game: Celtics vs. Lakers (5:00PM EST)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Monday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Celtics and Lakers. The bet is on LeBron James (LAL) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 3.7%.

The next two recommended plays are for Jonathan Kuminga (2.3% edge) to score first in the Warriors vs. Nuggets game and Jamal Murray (1.7%) to score the first basket, also in the Warriors-Nuggets matchup.

2. Jonathan Kuminga To Score First Basket (+950)

• Odds: +950
• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 11.8%
• Matchup: Warriors vs. Nuggets (2:30PM EST)

The next best NBA first basket bet for Monday comes in the Warriors vs. Nuggets game, where our model has found an edge of 2.3% on Jonathan Kuminga (GSW) at odds of +950 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

3. Jamal Murray To Score First Basket (+700)

• Odds: +700
• Edge: 1.7%
• Probability: 14.2%
• Game: Warriors vs. Nuggets (2:30PM EST)

Our next NBA first basket bet on Monday comes in the Warriors vs. Nuggets game, where our model has found an edge of 1.7% on Jamal Murray (DEN) at odds of +700 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

4. Anthony Davis To Score First Basket (+470)

• Odds: +470
• Edge: 0.0%
• Probability: 17.6%
• Matchup: Celtics vs. Lakers (5:00PM EST)

The next best first basket bet for today's NBA action comes in the Celtics vs. Lakers game, where our model has found an edge of 0.0% on Anthony Davis (LAL) at odds of +470 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA First Basket Predictions: Monday, December 25, 2023

As well as presenting the best NBA first basket bets today, Dimers.com has also determined the most likely players to score the first basket across all of Monday's games.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in any of today's matchups is Anthony Davis, with a probability of 17.6%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are LeBron James, with a 17.0% probability, and Luka Doncic, with a 15.9% probability.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: December 25, 2023

Thanks to simulating every one of Monday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Anthony Davis (Lakers)	17.6%
LeBron James (Lakers)	17.0%
Luka Doncic (Mavericks)	15.9%
Kevin Durant (Suns)	15.8%
Tyrese Maxey (76ers)	14.8%
Tyler Herro (Heat)	14.2%
Jamal Murray (Nuggets)	14.2%
Jaylen Brown (Celtics)	13.6%
Devin Booker (Suns)	13.1%
Stephen Curry (Warriors)	12.8%

Keep in mind that this list only shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Monday, which does not always indicate that our model recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to look out for favorable odds.

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: December 25, 2023

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for December 25, 2023, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks and predictions for Monday, December 25, are the result of thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's crucial that you practice responsible gambling and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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