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NBA First Basket Predictions for Tuesday Include Kevin Durant, Collin Sexton [1/7/2025]
Our expert analysis on Tuesday's NBA first basket market.

This Tuesday, January 7th, we have another big day of NBA basketball ahead of us, headlined by the Rockets' matchup against the Wizards at 7:00PM ET.
After assessing Tuesday's NBA simulations early this morning (see Dimers Pro for full access), our data analysts have announced their best first basket bet of the day.
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Additionally, this article reveals the NBA players our predictive analytics model has determined to have the highest probability of scoring the first basket in their respective matchups on Tuesday.
Let's dive into today's NBA first basket news and updates.
NBA Players to Watch Today
Based on the most recent injury reports, Tuesday's NBA games are expected to showcase star players such as Kevin Durant, Collin Sexton and LeBron James, each with a high chance of scoring first when they take to the court.
Who Will Score the First NBA Basket Tonight? [Cheat Sheet for January 7, 2025]
Thanks to simulating Tuesday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.
Player (Team) | First Basket Probability |
---|---|
Kevin Durant (Suns) | 16.6% |
Collin Sexton (Jazz) | 16.5% |
LeBron James (Lakers) | 15.6% |
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets) | 15.5% |
Zion Williamson (Pelicans) | 14.7% |
Trae Young (Hawks) | 14.6% |
LaMelo Ball (Hornets) | 14.2% |
Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves) | 14.1% |
CJ McCollum (Pelicans) | 13.9% |
Stephen Curry (Warriors) | 13.8% |
According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in any of today's games is Kevin Durant, with a probability of 16.6%.
Following Durant closely, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Collin Sexton at 16.5% and LeBron James at 15.6%.

Dimers Pro Pick of the Day: NBA First Basket [Tuesday, 1/7/2025]
Having simulated the result of today's NBA matchups thousands of times each, our predictive model has found the best NBA first basket bet for you to make on Tuesday.
For full access to our comprehensive analysis and top picks, subscribe to Dimers Pro.
LeBron James To Score First Basket
- Odds: +750
- Edge: 3.8%
- Probability: 15.6%
- Matchup: Lakers vs. Mavericks (7:30PM EST)
Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Tuesday's NBA slate in the game between the Lakers and Mavericks. The bet is on LeBron James (LAL) at odds of +750 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 3.8% according to our analysis.
Not only does James present an edge according to our model, but he is also among our top three most likely first basket scorers for today, as noted in the list above.
Closer Look at Today's First Basket Props
NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors. By using Tuesday's data-driven NBA predictions, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.
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To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to keep an eye on favorable odds.
NBA News, Schedule Alerts and Updated Odds
- Read the latest news alerts from the official NBA feed
- Check updated NBA odds
- Find broadcasting and streaming options for today's NBA games
NBA Schedule for Today [1/7/2025]
- Rockets vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET, Tuesday)
- Lakers vs. Mavericks (7:30PM ET, Tuesday)
- Hawks vs. Jazz (9:00PM ET, Tuesday)
- Heat vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET, Tuesday)
For more betting guides, check out Tuesday's NBA best bets and our NBA player prop picks for Tuesday.
Tonight's NBA First Basket Picks: January 7, 2025
This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for January 7, 2025. Automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting, while human editing and quality control ensure the content meets our editorial standards.
All of Dimers' NBA first basket predictions for Tuesday, January 7, have been made thanks to rigorous data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.
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Understanding Betting Edge
At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.
More on NBA
This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.
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