NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today [Tuesday, 4/30/2024]

NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today [Tuesday, 4/30/2024]

Another big day of NBA Playoffs basketball is on the cards, and we've run thousands of simulations to find the best NBA first basket predictions and odds for Tuesday, April 30, 2024.

Tuesday's NBA Playoffs action is set to showcase big names such as Jalen Brunson, Pascal Siakam and Joel Embiid, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props are one of the most popular options for sports fans to bet on, and by using Tuesday's data-backed NBA predictions below, you can gain an edge over everyone else.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our supercomputer has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on April 30.

For today's full list of NBA prop picks, sign up to Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!




Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: April 30, 2024

Thanks to simulating every one of Tuesday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)First Basket Probability
Jalen Brunson (Knicks)17.6%
Pascal Siakam (Pacers)14.7%
Joel Embiid (76ers)14.6%
Franz Wagner (Magic)14.4%
Tyrese Maxey (76ers)14.1%
Paolo Banchero (Magic)13.9%
Bobby Portis (Bucks)13.3%
Myles Turner (Pacers)13.3%
Khris Middleton (Bucks)13.0%
Jarrett Allen (Cavaliers)12.7%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket today is Jalen Brunson, with a probability of 17.6%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Pascal Siakam, with a 14.7% probability, and Joel Embiid, with a 14.6% probability. Remember, although this list shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Tuesday, it does not always indicate they are recommended bets according to DimersBOT.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to keep an eye on the best odds available.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Tuesday 4/30/2024

Having simulated the outcome of today's NBA Playoffs action thousands of times, our trusted predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has generated the best NBA first basket betting picks for Tuesday.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.

1. Paolo Banchero To Score First Basket (+850)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Tuesday, which is in the game between the Magic and Cavaliers. The bet is on Paolo Banchero (ORL) at odds of +850 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 3.3%.

The next two recommended bets are for Franz Wagner (3.3% edge) to score first in the Magic vs. Cavaliers game and Pascal Siakam (3.0%) to score the first basket in the Pacers vs. Bucks matchup.

2. Franz Wagner To Score First Basket (+800)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today also comes in the Magic vs. Cavaliers game, where our model has found an edge of 3.3% on Franz Wagner (ORL) at odds of +800 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Tuesday's Best NBA Bets

3. Pascal Siakam To Score First Basket (+750)

Our next NBA first basket bet on Tuesday comes in the Pacers vs. Bucks game, where our model has found an edge of 3.0% on Pascal Siakam (IND) at odds of +750 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Tuesday's NBA Prop Picks

4. Jalen Brunson To Score First Basket (+550)

The next best first basket bet for Tuesday's NBA action comes in the 76ers vs. Knicks game, where our model has found an edge of 2.2% on Jalen Brunson (NYK) at odds of +550 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

5. Jalen Suggs To Score First Basket (+950)

Rounding out Dimers' top five NBA first basket bets for today is Jalen Suggs (ORL) at odds of +950 in the Magic vs. Cavaliers game. Here, our model has found an edge of 1.4% with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA Games

For more NBA picks and props, check out our full betting previews for each game on the Tuesday slate:

Understanding Betting Edge

At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.

Tonight's NBA First Basket Picks: April 30, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for April 30, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks for Tuesday, April 30, are based on thousands of data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket predictions for sports betting, it's important that you practice responsible gambling and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More About NBA

This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.

For more NBA betting content we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news, the best NBA promos and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.

Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience as a sports and betting expert, serves as the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, where he steers the editorial and digital content strategy for leading platforms like Dimers.com, Stats Insider and Gambling Today. Specializing in soccer, Nick brings a global perspective to his coverage of the sport, including detailed analyses of MLS games. He also contributes to NHL content through game previews, best bets, and props, and lends his expertise to crafting NBA first basket betting content. 

With a robust background as a journalist and broadcaster, Nick has been a trusted voice on major networks and channels such as Fox Sports, WCBV-TV Boston, ESPN, ABC, and others. His profound understanding of sports and betting dynamics has made him a sought-after authority in the wagering and gambling industries.

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