NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today [Saturday, 5/4/2024]

NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today [Saturday, 5/4/2024]

Another big day of NBA Playoffs basketball is on the cards, and we've run thousands of simulations to find the best NBA first basket picks and odds for Saturday, May 4, 2024.

Saturday's NBA Playoffs action is set to showcase big names such as Anthony Edwards, Jamal Murray and Nikola Jokic, each with a high chance of opening the scoring when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props are one of the more popular options for sports fans to bet on, and by using Saturday's data-backed NBA predictions below, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our basketball model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on May 4.

For today's full list of NBA prop picks, sign up to Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: May 4, 2024

Thanks to simulating each one of Saturday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team) First Basket Probability
Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves) 14.2%
Jamal Murray (Nuggets) 13.6%
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets) 13.3%
Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves) 10.9%
Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves) 9.4%
Mike Conley (Timberwolves) 8.1%
Jaden McDaniels (Timberwolves) 7.4%
Aaron Gordon (Nuggets) 7.3%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (Nuggets) 5.8%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket today is Anthony Edwards, with a probability of 14.2%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Jamal Murray, with a 13.6% probability, and Nikola Jokic, with a 13.3% probability. Remember, although this list shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Saturday, it does not necessarily mean they are suggested bets according to our predictive analytics model.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to keep an eye on favorable odds.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Saturday 5/4/2024

Having simulated the outcome of today's NBA Playoffs action thousands of times, our trusted predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has generated the best NBA first basket betting picks for Saturday.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.

1. Jamal Murray To Score First Basket (+750)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today, which is in the game between the Timberwolves and Nuggets. The bet is on Jamal Murray (DEN) at odds of +750 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 1.9%.

2. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope To Score First Basket (+1700)

The next best NBA first basket bet for Saturday also comes in the Timberwolves vs. Nuggets game, where our model has found an edge of 0.3% on Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (DEN) at odds of +1700 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Saturday's Best NBA Bets

Today's NBA Games

For more NBA picks and props, check out our full betting previews for each game on the Saturday slate:

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Tonight's NBA First Basket Picks: May 4, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for May 4, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks for Saturday, May 4, are the result of thousands of data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket predictions for sports betting, it's crucial that you practice responsible gambling and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More About NBA

This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.

For more NBA betting content we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news, the best NBA promos and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.

Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience as a sports and betting expert, serves as the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, where he steers the editorial and digital content strategy for leading platforms like, Stats Insider and Gambling Today. Specializing in soccer, Nick brings a global perspective to his coverage of the sport, including detailed analyses of MLS games. He also contributes to NHL content through game previews, best bets, and props, and lends his expertise to crafting NBA first basket betting content. 

With a robust background as a journalist and broadcaster, Nick has been a trusted voice on major networks and channels such as Fox Sports, WCBV-TV Boston, ESPN, ABC, and others. His profound understanding of sports and betting dynamics has made him a sought-after authority in the wagering and gambling industries.

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