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NBA Props: Six things to know for NBA betting on Saturday, March 7
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Reviewed by Nick Slade
We use the Dimers Pro NBA projections to find the best betting angle in each game on Saturday, March 7.
There are six games on the NBA schedule this Saturday, March 7, and we are looking at the best NBA player prop or bet to make in each, thanks to some data-backed insights from the Dimers Pro suite of NBA betting tools.
From our best bets and props to the Dimers Pro NBA Projections Hub and our prop trends, all exclusive to Dimers Pros, we have a loaded arsenal of features to help you cut through the noise and find the most profitable ways to bet on every single NBA game.
After debuting last season, the NBA Player Projections Hub quickly became one of the best ways to uncover hidden player prop value, providing daily projections for every NBA player, including points, rebounds, assists, blocks, and steals, and we'll be using this tool heavily today.
The expansive hub can identify players on the brink of significant statistical performances, notably those who are within range of double digits in multiple categories as “Double-Double Threats” or “Triple-Double Threats” as well as find players who are projected not just to hit their regular prop line, but go over even further and cash some plus-money alternate lines or ladder props.
To narrow down today's opportunities, we've identified one notable stat, projection or bet in each of today's six games.
1. Rudy Gobert's rebounds
Game: Magic vs. Timberwolves
Tip: 3:00 PM ET
When looking for betting opportunities in the NBA Projections Hub, a great place to start is with the players who lead a given stat, as that signals upside.
Our top overall projected rebounder of the slate is in the first game of the day, with Rudy Gobert projected for 11.8 rebounds vs. the Magic.
The Magic rank right in the middle of the league in terms of opponent rebounds over their past 15 games, but have allowed some notable performances of 13, 11, 13, 12, 14, 11, and 14 to game leaders in that span - Gobert averages more rebounds per game than all of those players.
They also rank 20th in offensive FG% and 24th in 3PT%, pointing to more rebound chances.
Since the All-Star Break, Gobert's recorded 12, 12, 15, 13, 19 and 17 rebounds in each game.
2. Jalen Johnson's triple double
Game: 76ers vs. Hawks
Tip: 6:00 PM ET
Currently on his longest streak without even a double double, our model projects Jalen Johnson to pull out all the tricks vs. the 76ers tonight.
Johnson is on a three-game streak under 10 rebounds, something he hasn't done since the end of December and he gets a projection of 23.6 points, 10.2 rebounds and 9.2 assists, the latter two of which both rank second on the entire slate.
His assists prop alone is a strong value from our model, with a 53.8% probability to go over his line of 8.5, and if you think he can get the boards and one more assist, he's at +296 for a triple double on DraftKings.
3. Cade Cunningham's assists
Game: Nets vs. Pistons
Tip: 6:00 PM ET
Another player who leads tonight's slate in the Dimers projections, this time in assists.
Cade Cunningham is listed as a game-time decision tonight with a quad contusion, but the Pistons will certainly hope he can play as they look to snap a two-game skid with the now fully healthy Boston Celtics chasing them down for the No. 1 seed.
Cunningham projects for 10.8 assists vs. the Brooklyn Nets, who rank 23rd in opponent assists over their L15 games.
At +108 for over 10.5 assists on FanDuel, Cunningham could be a strong target for dimes tonight.
4. Giannis Antetokounmpo's get-right spot
Game: Jazz vs. Bucks
Tip: 8:00 PM ET
After missing 15 games with a calf injury, Giannis Antetokounmpo returned to the Bucks on Monday, scoring 19 and 24 points in two games since returning, playing 25 and 26 minutes each game.
Our NBA trends tool shows that Giannis has gone under his line of 25.5 points in 8 of his L10, scoring 22 or fewer in 6 of those games, but our projections reveal him getting back to his usual output in tonight's matchup with the tanking Utah Jazz, with a line of 26.7 points, 9.2 rebounds and 6.6 assists.
The Bucks enter this game as 9.5-point favorites, he Jazz defense ranks 20th in scoring and 22nd vs. assists over their past 15 games, and adjusted for Forwards, 24th and 26th, lining up Giannis for a good matchup on Saturday night.
5. Kawhi Leonard's scoring
Game: Clippers vs. Grizzlies
Tip: 8:00 PM ET
Two favorable matchups point to a big night for Kawhi Leonard as the Clippers look to shake off blowing a 25-point lead to the Spurs last night.
The top probability prop on the board per our model is Kawhi Leonard to go over 26.5 points, with a 56.6% probability, projection of 29.6 and odds of -105 on BetMGM.
He's also our top-projected three-point shooter in this game at 2.6 threes made.
Both of those projections line up well with a Grizzlies team allowing the 5th most threes made and 8th most points per game over their last 15
6. The Thunder's vulnerability
Game: Warriors vs. Thunder
Tip: 8:30 PM ET
In the final game of the night, the Oklahoma City Thunder look to roll against the Golden State Warriors as big 14.5-point favorites.
Though they've won 11 of their last 15 games, they've one notable weakness - they've allowed the most rebounds to opposing guards in that span by a full 3.1 more than the next team, while rankings 23rd vs. rebounds overall.
Four players project within 1 rebound of one another for the Warriors, led by guard Brandon Podziemski, who's recorded 7+ rebounds in seven straight games and gets a projection of 6.7 tonight.
Dimers' NBA betting resources for the 2025-26 season
- NBA Game Predictions: Our data-backed previews for every NBA matchup, every day.
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- NBA Finals Odds: Who will win the championship?
- Best NBA Props: Player edges and projections from our predictive analytics model
- NBA Betting News: The latest promos, storylines and more around the league
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To give you the most accurate and helpful information, this article has been reviewed and edited by Nick Slade through our fact-checking process.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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