NBA Best Bets Today [Thursday 12/28/2023]

NBA betting is back for another exciting slate, and we're here to serve up our top picks for Thursday's basketball action. After carrying out thousands of data-driven simulations of each game today, we have diligently nailed down the top five best NBA bets for Thursday December 28, 2023.

Today's NBA plays come from a mix of matchups, led by Pistons vs. Celtics and Jazz vs. Pelicans, with our advanced predictive analytics model working nonstop to uncover edges across all sorts of bet types.

With so much basketball action to digest and think about on 12/28, we have your back. Our NBA picks and predictions are here to make your Thursday easier, with our carefully selected NBA best bets today listed below in order of the juiciest edge.

We used a powerful predictive analytics model to find these NBA best bets, so you can be sure that our featured plays represent the best NBA bets to make on Thursday.

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Each one of the suggested bets for Thursday's NBA games come directly from Dimers' NBA Best Bets page, which lets you filter by different bet types and matchups. It's your own secret weapon!

Best NBA Bets Tonight - 12/28/2023

After crunching the numbers and conducting thousands of simulations of today's NBA action, DimersBOT, our leading predictive analytics model, has precisely determined the best basketball bets for you to place on Thursday December 28, 2023.

Pistons +17.5 (-110)

• Odds: -110 via BetMGM
• Edge: 6.6%
• Probability: 59%
• Matchup: Pistons vs. Celtics (7:30PM EST, Thursday)
• Click here to place this bet with BetMGM

Our model has pinpointed the best NBA bet tonight, focusing on the matchup between the Pistons and Celtics. We recommend placing a spread bet on Pistons +17.5, currently offered at -110 odds by BetMGM. We have detected a significant edge of 6.6% for this particular wager, which makes it our NBA best bet for Thursday.

MORE: NBA Best Bets Today

Jazz +8 (-105)

• Odds: -105 via DraftKings Sportsbook
• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 54.3%
• Matchup: Jazz vs. Pelicans (8:00PM EST, Thursday)
• Click here to place this bet with DraftKings Sportsbook

Our model has uncovered another standout NBA bet for Thursday's basketball action, specifically in the matchup featuring the Jazz and Pelicans. We recommend considering a spread wager on Jazz +8, available at -105 odds through DraftKings Sportsbook. We have detected a compelling edge of 3.1% for this particular bet.

Spurs +4.5 (-105)

• Odds: -105 via BetMGM
• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 54.1%
• Matchup: Spurs vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM EST, Thursday)
• Click here to place this bet with BetMGM

Another top pick for today's basketball action comes from the matchup between the Spurs and Trail Blazers. The play here is a spread bet, with Spurs +4.5 at enticing odds of -105 through BetMGM. Our model has found an advantageous edge of 2.9% for this particular wager.

Pacers vs. Bulls Under 238.5 Points (-110)

• Odds: -110 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 55.1%
• Matchup: Pacers vs. Bulls (8:00PM EST, Thursday)
• Click here to place this bet with FanDuel Sportsbook

Our next pick for today's action stems from the game between the Pacers and Bulls. The bet here is an over/under wager on Under 238.5 Points, currently available at enticing -110 odds through FanDuel Sportsbook. Our model has found a noteworthy 2.7% edge for this particular bet.

Pacers ML (-116)

• Odds: -116 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 55.9%
• Matchup: Pacers vs. Bulls (8:00PM EST, Thursday)
• Click here to place this bet with FanDuel Sportsbook

Next up, we're looking at the Pacers vs. Bulls matchup. Our model has its eyes on Pacers ML, coming in at -116 odds. When comparing the best available moneyline odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to our probabilities, bettors are getting a tasty 2.2% edge here.

NBA Best Bets - Thursday 12/28/2023

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge
Pistons vs. Celtics	Pistons +17.5	-110 @ BetMGM	6.6%
Jazz vs. Pelicans	Jazz +8	-105 @ DraftKings	3.1%
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Spurs +4.5	-105 @ BetMGM	2.9%
Pacers vs. Bulls	Under 238.5 Points	-110 @ FanDuel	2.7%
Pacers vs. Bulls	Pacers ML	-116 @ FanDuel	2.2%

MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times

Tonight's NBA Games to Bet On - 12/28/2023

• Pistons vs. Celtics (7:30PM ET, Thursday)
• Jazz vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Pacers vs. Bulls (8:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Mavericks vs. Timberwolves (8:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Grizzlies vs. Nuggets (9:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Spurs vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Heat vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Hornets vs. Lakers (10:30PM ET, Thursday)

What Is an Edge in NBA Betting?

The edge at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that our NBA model projects a bet has a higher chance of winning than the sportsbooks are giving it. That's why the higher the edge, the better for us.

Although it does not guarantee that you will win a given bet, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being a profitable bettor in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

More About NBA

This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.

For more NBA betting content, we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news, the best NBA promos and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.

Make Smarter NBA Betting Decisions Today - 12/28/2023

At Dimers.com, we take the responsibility of providing daily NBA betting picks very seriously, especially when considering the implications of gambling and the potential impact on our users' financial well-being and quality of life.

While we strive to provide accurate and insightful betting advice, we always recommend that our users exercise caution and conduct their own research before using our daily betting picks or any other betting advice, as ultimately, it's up to each individual to make informed decisions that align with their personal values and goals. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

This NBA best bets article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on the Thursday's NBA action, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publishing.