NBA picks today: Monday's best bets include Warriors vs. Mavericks play [3/23/2026]

Warriors ML (-118)

• Edge: 4.9%
• Probability: 59%
• Matchup: Warriors vs. Mavericks (9:30PM ET, Monday)

Our model has identified value on Warriors to defeat Mavericks at -118 odds. A 59% probability produces an edge of 4.9%, making this the strongest play for today's NBA slate.

Grizzlies +13.5 (-105)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 56%
• Matchup: Grizzlies vs. Hawks (7:30PM ET, Monday)

Grizzlies +13.5 carries a 4.7% edge and a probability of 56% at -105 odds, according to our model.

Pacers +12.5 (-105)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 55.9%
• Matchup: Pacers vs. Magic (7:00PM ET, Monday)

Pacers +12.5 vs. Magic at -105 odds shows a 4.6% edge, supported by a 55.9% probability in simulations.

Nets +14.5 (-108)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 56.4%
• Matchup: Nets vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET, Monday)

A 4.4% edge and 56.4% probability make Nets +14.5 vs. Trail Blazers at a value play in the Nets vs. Trail Blazers matchup, per our model.

Bucks +13.5 (-110)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 56.3%
• Matchup: Bucks vs. Clippers (10:30PM ET, Monday)

Bucks +13.5 at -110 odds presents a 3.9% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 56.3%.

76ers +15.5 (-110)

• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 56%
• Matchup: Thunder vs. 76ers (7:00PM ET, Monday)

Our model finds value on 76ers +15.5 at -110 odds, supported by an edge of 3.6%.

Lakers ML (-134)

• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 60.8%
• Matchup: Lakers vs. Pistons (7:00PM ET, Monday)

Our model has uncovered value on Lakers ML at -134 odds. A 60.8% probability produces a 3.6% edge, making this a strong play for today's NBA action.

Bulls +7.5 (-102)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 53.6%
• Matchup: Rockets vs. Bulls (8:00PM ET, Monday)

A 3.1% edge on a 53.6% probability makes Bulls +7.5 at -102 odds a solid value play in today's Rockets vs. Bulls matchup.

Pacers ML (+610)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 16.8%
• Matchup: Pacers vs. Magic (7:00PM ET, Monday)

Our model projects value on Pacers to win at +610 odds. A 16.8% probability produces a 2.7% edge, making Pacers the favorable ML play in Saturday’s matchup.

Nets ML (+750)

• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 14.2%
• Matchup: Nets vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET, Monday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Nets to defeat Trail Blazers at +750 odds shows a 14.2% probability and a 2.5% edge.

NBA best bets summary: Monday, 3/23/2026

As of 3:31AM ET, here are our top NBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Warriors vs. Mavericks	Warriors ML	-118 @ DraftKings	4.9%	59%
Grizzlies vs. Hawks	Grizzlies +13.5	-105 @ BetMGM	4.7%	56%
Pacers vs. Magic	Pacers +12.5	-105 @ DraftKings	4.6%	55.9%
Nets vs. Trail Blazers	Nets +14.5	-108 @ FanDuel	4.4%	56.4%
Bucks vs. Clippers	Bucks +13.5	-110 @ BetMGM	3.9%	56.3%
Thunder vs. 76ers	76ers +15.5	-110 @ BetMGM	3.6%	56%
Lakers vs. Pistons	Lakers ML	-134 @ FanDuel	3.6%	60.8%
Rockets vs. Bulls	Bulls +7.5	-102 @ DraftKings	3.1%	53.6%
Pacers vs. Magic	Pacers ML	+610 @ FanDuel	2.7%	16.8%
Nets vs. Trail Blazers	Nets ML	+750 @ FanDuel	2.5%	14.2%

List of upcoming NBA games to bet on [3/23/2026]

• Thunder vs. 76ers (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• Pacers vs. Magic (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• Spurs vs. Heat (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• Lakers vs. Pistons (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• Grizzlies vs. Hawks (7:30PM ET, Monday)
• Rockets vs. Bulls (8:00PM ET, Monday)
• Raptors vs. Jazz (9:00PM ET, Monday)
• Warriors vs. Mavericks (9:30PM ET, Monday)
• Nets vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET, Monday)
• Bucks vs. Clippers (10:30PM ET, Monday)

AI betting support with Dimebot

Learn how Dimebot uses Dimers’ data to deliver quick answers and insights, helping you make faster, more informed decisions.

Conclusion

Our NBA best bets are locked and loaded for March 23, 2026, featuring plays such as Warriors ML and Grizzlies +13.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate NBA insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

Note: Clicking links to our sportsbook partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.