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NBA 2020/21 Championship: Data-based probabilities

NBA 2020/21 Championship: Data-based probabilities

If you’ve been following Dimers for a while, you’ll know that we absolutely love a futures bet or two and with the NBA season upon us, it’s time to look at what our predictive analytics model is saying in regards to the 2020/21 NBA Championship. 

As expected, the Lakers lead the line as the most likely team to win it, with the Bucks, Clippers and Nets rounding out the top four.

Scroll down for a write up on a few teams that our model is liking as well the probabilities for all 30 teams!

Let’s tuck into a few of the teams that are currently presenting value according to our data 👇

 

🏀 Dallas Mavericks

As seen in our win totals article, the Mavs are looking like one of the big improvers from last season in which they finished 7th. When it comes to championship probabilities, they are currently the third highest ranked team in the West, behind only the two LA teams. If Luka gets off to a hot start and Porzingis returns with his body intact, the Mavs odds could come in drastically over the first month or so of the season. 

NBA 2020/21 MVP Preview
 

🏀 Toronto Raptors

At the time of writing, the Raptors have come in as the ninth most likely side to win the Chip in 2021, and at odds +3000 look like a smarter play than other teams around the same probability. They still have a lot of the squad that won the title back in 2019 and if it comes down to crunch time in a big playoff moment, you’d be brave to bet against the guys that took down the Warriors (even if they have lost Kawhi since).

NBA Western Conference Win Totals
 

🏀 Houston Rockets

So, this is a weird one. The Rockets are at odds of +8000 meaning that any dollar you out on them would return $80. Now, this projection is based on the current roster so that obviously includes a pretty disgruntled James Harden, but if he somehow does remain in Texas, then those 80/1 odds will look silly, pretty fast. We wouldn’t recommend putting much on this bet, but another thing is to consider that they could get a decent haul back for Harden as well, including rumors about Ben Simmons, Jamal Murray and Tyler Herro.

NBA Eastern Conference Win Totals


For every team's probability and best odds to win the championship, check out our NBA Championship Probabilities by clicking the NFL drop down menu and changing it to the NBA.

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Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Sports Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver has always taken a strong interest in the world of sports and sports betting, with the NBA and NFL holding a special place in his heart. As well as the Cleveland Cavaliers and Browns, Ryan loves the Atlanta Braves in MLB and West Ham in the English Premier League. As for betting, he's been involved online since the moment he legally could, and although there's an understanding of profitability and unit staking, it's always been hard for him to turn down a 12-leg same-game parlay. Ryan loves nothing more than linking up with DimersBOT on an NBA prop, so when you see his name attached to a basketball betting article, you know it's going to be thoroughly researched!

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