MLB Thursday Player Props and Predictions - July 28, 2022

Updated: Dec 21, 2023, 6:20 AM ET | First published: Jul 27, 2022, 4:10 PM ET

Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities

MLB Thursday Player Props and Predictions - July 28, 2022

We're hunting down some solid payouts as we bring you our favorite Thursday MLB player props.

It's Thursday July 28, 2022, and, as always, we've simulated all of the day's MLB games 10,000 times each to determine where the value lies for baseball bettors across the United States.

With MLB betting picks, probabilities, odds and predicted scores featured each and every day, check out our top plays for Thursday's MLB games.

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Free MLB Props Thursday July 28, 2022

Phillies vs. Pirates, 7:05PM ET

BET: Nick Castellanos 1+ HR (+360)

Castellanos hasn't hit a home run in almost a month. He's getting boo'd by his home fans and he's getting into fights with journalists, but this... this is his time. The Phillies hitter needs some luck and he gets it tonight going up against a pitcher in Zach Thompson that he's had some success with in his career, previously hitting a home run off of him. Despite the criticism being levelled at him, Castellanos is still making contact with the ball, registering hits in three of his last four games. This could be the breakthrough he's been looking for.

⚾️ Phillies vs. Pirates Thursday simulator
📈 Betting preview: Phillies vs. Pirates Thursday

Royals vs. Yankees, 7:05PM ET

BET: Aaron Judge 1+ HR (+240)

The Yankees are reeling after a 2-game Subway Series sweep in Queens and so is Aaron Judge after being humbled by Max Scherzer last night on his way to a 0-5 night. That's bad news for the Royals and starting pitcher Brady Singer, who is going to feel the wrath of the MLB home run leader. Singer has given up the equal most amount of dingers in the Kansas City rotation. All rise.

⚾️ Royals vs. Yankees Thursday simulator
📈 Betting preview: Royals vs. Yankees Thursday

Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on for every baseball game on Thursday via our MLB Bet Hub, where we deliver you MLB predictions and suggested bets, or check out the MLB Betting News section.

MLB Props Parlay Thursday July 28, 2022

1️⃣ Castellanos HR
2️⃣ Judge HR

⏩ Parlay Odds +1464

MORE: Thursday's MLB Picks and Parlay

*All odds subject to change from time of publishing

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Written by

Jason Bevilacqua

Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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MLB Thursday Player Props and Predictions - July 28, 2022