MLB Thursday Picks

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Written by Ryan Leaver
MLB Thursday Picks

At the time of writing, it looks as though at least some of today's MLB slate will be going ahead as scheduled.

With that in mind, our baseball model has been run over today's games to give you the best picks from across the board.

Check out our MLB Bet Hub predictions below 👇

Place a 3-sport parlay with William Hill and get a 20% cash credit on your Qualifying Wager.

 

Rockies @ Diamondbacks

BEST: Total runs: Over 8.5 (-102*) has a 59% probability

Our model is seeing a lot of runs in this one, putting the overs at a 59% chance. With a high chance of runs, why not bet a team at the ML or run line and can get $10 in free bets for every home run team hits with PointsBet here.

Read our full betting preview of this game here.

Red Sox @ Blue Jays

BEST: 💪 Red Sox +1.5 (-122*) has a 60% probability

Our model has the Red Sox as covering in this one and is even seeing a massive 5.8% edge against the sportsbooks if you play them at the ML.

Suggested Over/Under and Moneyline plays HERE

 

Athletics @ Rangers

BEST: 💵 Athletics moneyline (-139*) has a 61% probability

The A’s look strong in this one, with our data suggesting that they are a 61% chance of getting the dub. They’re even a decent chance (49%) of covering the run line if you’re looking for some bigger odds.

Suggested Over/Under and Run line plays HERE

Phillies @ Nationals

BEST: 👇 Total runs under 9 (+100*) has a 55% probability

This one is looking like a great play. A 55% probability with plus money on offer with the books. Add this one to your parlays.

Suggested Moneyline and Run line plays HERE

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Orioles @ Rays

BEST: 💪 Orioles +1.5 (-125*) has a 60% probability

The Orioles are being underrated for by the books in this one, with our model seeing a 5.8% edge on them at the ML. Our play though is for them to cover the run line.

Suggested Over/Under and Moneyline plays HERE

 

Twins @ Tigers

BEST: 💵 Tigers moneyline (+140*) has a 7.8% edge

Our model has this matchup as MUCH closer than the sportsbooks, giving the underdog Tigers a 47% chance of winning. This gives us a 7.8% edge against the books.

Suggested Run line and Over/Under plays HERE

🎾 Our predictions for the US Open.

🏌️‍♂️ Our predictions for the BMW Championship.

*Odds and percentages correct at time of publishing.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Sports Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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