MLB Sunday Picks

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua
MLB Sunday Picks

We’ve got 14 games of baseball to look forward to today. Of course, that would have been 15, but Coronavirus has struck the league again. 

The Pirate and Reds will have their game postponed as an Cincinnati deal with an outbreak, but we’re still here to provide you with the best MLB picks of today.

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Indians @ Tigers
Tigers +1.5 (-125*) has a 60% probability

The Tigers have lost to the Indians 19 times in a row. That’s crazy.

Our predictive model is casting doom on the streak today and sees the Pirates covering the run line.

Mariners @ Astros
Astros -1.5 (-120*) has a 55% probability

The Astros have been back to their best this weekend, doing nothing less than embarrass the Mariners.

We see the game following a similar flow to the series opener that Houston took out 11-1. Take the Astros at the run line.

Padres @ Diamondbacks
Diamondbacks +1.5 (-150*) has a 63% probability

Arizona are on a three-game winning streak and look set to keep that rolling into Sunday.

The Diamondbacks have been able to score at will as well, notching up 25 runs during their hot streak. They can pile on the runs quickly. Look for them to cover the run line here.

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Brewers @ Cubs
Over 8.5 runs (-125*) has a 56% probability

It’s been a much-improved performance for the Brewers since the series opener between these two on Thursday in which Cubs pitcher Yu Darvish kept the Milwaukee sluggers in check.

Our predictive model suggests there will be runs in this one today, following on from yesterday’s 6-5 result. Take the overs.

Athletics @ Giants
Giants +1.5 (-140*) has a 63% probability

The teams from the Bay Area meet for the third time in as many days in a series that has been close all weekend.

The two games thus far have seen Oakland win by a single run each time and we see another close one playing out today. The Giants are the run line appears to be the best value. They’ve shown that they can match it with the Athletic’s – don’t be surprised if they can surprise today.

 

 

*odds are correct at time of publishing

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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