MLB player props today: Saturday's best props include Trevor McDonald [5/22/2026]

Trevor McDonald under 5.5 strikeouts (-160)

• Edge: 9.1%
• Probability: 70.7%
• Game: White Sox vs. Giants (10:15PM ET)

Our model has found value on San Francisco's Trevor McDonald under 5.5 strikeouts. A probability of 70.7% gives this play an edge of 9.1% at -160 odds.

Bubba Chandler under 2.5 walks allowed (-181)

• Edge: 6.2%
• Probability: 70.6%
• Game: Pirates vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET)

Bubba Chandler’s walks allowed prop shows a 70.6% probability and an 6.2% edge at -181 odds, according to our model.

Kevin Gausman under 6.5 strikeouts (-149)

• Edge: 9.2%
• Probability: 69.0%
• Game: Pirates vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET)

The data highlights value on Kevin Gausman under 6.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 69.0% probability and a 9.2% edge at -149.

Connor Prielipp under 2.5 earned runs (-165)

• Edge: 6.7%
• Probability: 68.9%
• Game: Twins vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET)

Our model finds value on Connor Prielipp under 2.5 earned runs, with a 68.9% probability and an edge of 6.7% at -165 odds.

Austin Riley to get a hit (-195)

• Edge: 2.6%
• Probability: 68.7%
• Game: Nationals vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Austin Riley to get a hit for Atlanta, showing an edge of 2.6% at -195 odds.

Spencer Arrighetti over 1.5 earned runs (-169)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 67.0%
• Game: Astros vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET)

Spencer Arrighetti’s earned runs prop shows an edge of 4.2% at -169 odds, supported by a 67.0% probability according to our model.

Miles Mikolas over 2.5 strikeouts (-143)

• Edge: 7.8%
• Probability: 66.6%
• Game: Nationals vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Miles Mikolas over 2.5 strikeouts for Washington, with a 66.6% probability and a 7.8% edge at -143 odds.

Chris Bassitt over 1.5 earned runs (-140)

• Edge: 8.3%
• Probability: 66.6%
• Game: Tigers vs. Orioles (7:15PM ET)

The data shows value on Chris Bassitt over 1.5 earned runs, supported by a 66.6% probability at -140 odds and an edge of 8.3%.

Adrian Del Castillo to get a hit (-162)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 66.5%
• Game: Rockies vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET)

A 4.7% edge on the to get a hit line makes Adrian Del Castillo a value play in Rockies vs. D-Backs, supported by a 66.5% probability at -162 odds.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa to get a hit (-163)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 66.5%
• Game: Twins vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET)

Simulations show value on Isiah Kiner-Falefa to get a hit here, with a 66.5% probability and 4.5% edge at -163 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Friday, May 22, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:00AM ET:

Conclusion

For May 22, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Trevor McDonald, Bubba Chandler and Kevin Gausman. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.