Home run predictions and picks: Top bet for Monday has +1500 odds [7/27/2026]
Get home run predictions today guided by expert analysis of Monday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Monday, July 27, 2026, feature Cal Raleigh as the top projected hitter, based on Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Monday's HR projections pull from our full list of home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the top home run bets today.
Home run predictions for July 27, 2026
See which hitters join Raleigh on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +1500.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (Mariners) | 20.3% |
| Nick Kurtz (Athletics) | 20.1% |
| Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) | 19.0% |
| Eugenio Suárez (Reds) | 18.6% |
| Jo Adell (Angels) | 17.5% |
| Pete Alonso (Orioles) | 16.8% |
| Yordan Alvarez (Astros) | 16.7% |
| Munetaka Murakami (White Sox) | 16.0% |
| Julio Rodríguez (Mariners) | 15.7% |
| Tyler Soderstrom (Athletics) | 15.6% |
Our analysis shows Raleigh leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 20.3% chance to go yard, followed by Nick Kurtz (20.1%) and Kyle Schwarber (19.0%).
Eugenio Suárez and Jo Adell are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Monday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Monday's home run picks [7/27/2026]
Dimers Pro’s 10,000-simulation model, factoring in weather and pitching matchups, highlights today’s highest-rated home run prop.
David Hamilton (Brewers) to hit a home run
- Probability: 9.7%
- Odds: fanatics+1500
- Edge: 3.4%
- Game: Brewers vs. Giants (9:45 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Tyler Mahle
Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Milwaukee slugger David Hamilton rates as a value play at +1500 with fanatics, showing a 3.4% edge.
Against Giants starter Tyler Mahle, the data supports Hamilton as one of Monday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to a total of six home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For July 27, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Cal Raleigh, Nick Kurtz and Kyle Schwarber projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's David Hamilton who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 3.4% edge at +1500 odds.
Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Monday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
