Home run predictions and picks: Top bet for Monday has +550 odds [7/20/2026]
Get home run predictions today driven by expert analysis of Monday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Monday, July 20, 2026, feature Eugenio Suárez as the top projected hitter, per Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Monday's HR projections pull from our proprietary home run predictions, built to highlight the most likely home run hitters today.
Home run predictions for July 20, 2026
See which hitters join Suárez on today’s list plus find our best value play for Monday’s slate.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Eugenio Suárez (Reds) | 22.0% |
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 19.5% |
| Yordan Alvarez (Astros) | 18.9% |
| Cal Raleigh (Mariners) | 18.8% |
| Kerry Carpenter (Tigers) | 18.8% |
| Shea Langeliers (Athletics) | 18.7% |
| Hunter Goodman (Rockies) | 18.6% |
| Jo Adell (Angels) | 18.3% |
| Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) | 18.1% |
| Junior Caminero (Rays) | 17.6% |
Our analysis shows Suárez leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 22.0% chance to go yard, followed by Shohei Ohtani (19.5%) and Yordan Alvarez (18.9%).
Cal Raleigh and Kerry Carpenter are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Monday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Monday's home run picks [7/20/2026]
Powered by 10,000 simulations and data-driven factors like weather and pitcher form, Dimers Pro identifies today’s top home run prop.
Eugenio Suárez (Reds) to hit a home run
- Probability: 22%
- Odds: fanatics+550
- Edge: 6.6%
- Game: Reds vs. Mariners (9:40 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: George Kirby
Ranked top of today’s home run projections, Cincinnati slugger Eugenio Suárez rates as a value play at +550 with fanatics, showing a 6.6% edge.
Set to face George Kirby in tonight's Reds-Mariners matchup, the data supports Suárez as one of Monday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to a total of 11 home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For July 20, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Eugenio Suárez, Shohei Ohtani and Yordan Alvarez projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. Suárez in particular emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 6.6% edge at +550 odds.
Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Monday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
